TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3265…cf6b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
168
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Dota2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 53 out of 100; worst Lol at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT14331.5%45 W · 98 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 143 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.99
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.9
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.39
Counter-Strike: JAM vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #1 Playoffsbacked LPH Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.57
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs Butterfly (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffsbacked Just Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffsbacked UNiTY esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.98
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagebacked METANOIA WOLVES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.39
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Benched gods (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stagebacked Benched gods · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs K27 - Map 2 Winnerbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FOKUS (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group Bbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winnerbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Honvéd (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Group Bbacked Honvéd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.42
Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 - Map 2 Winnerbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.2
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Misa Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.25
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs ENCE - Map 2 Winnerbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group Dbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.05
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy vs BIG Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked BIG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: 9z vs PARIVISION - Map 3 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$56
Showing 25 of 143 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick30cpaid-69.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Myth Esports vs Dynasty (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Seasonbacked Dynasty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.3
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.07
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Gen.G (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.4
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Top Esports Challenger (BO3) - Asia Masters Last Chance Qualifierbacked Top Esports Challenger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$135.47
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Eintracht Spandau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Cbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Dbacked Anubis Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$37.9
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - Asia Masters Group Abacked CTBC Flying Oyster Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.29
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy (BO3) - Asia Masters Group Bbacked Bilibili Gaming Junior · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
LoL: Ronaldo Team vs Bubliki (BO5) - LPLOL Playoffsbacked Ronaldo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.94
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
LoL: EXILE esports vs BRUTE (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Seasonbacked BRUTE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
All 14 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick34cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+33.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.