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Lol · resolved market

LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
T1of Dplus KIA, T1
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,499,345
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,482,837

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,499,345 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 731 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked T176c334,001$254,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79,033.9855955.8%312 W · 247 L+50.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x76cf…9452backed Dplus KIA24c226,951$53,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,974.4310941.3%45 W · 64 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40ea…832fbacked Dplus KIA12c124,184$14,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,961.0920339.9%81 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked T176c56,000$42,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,479.931,10252.3%576 W · 526 L+5.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Dplus KIA17c47,262$7,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,944.0916332.5%53 W · 110 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+29.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc623…5808backed Dplus KIA33c44,921$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,999.7512446%57 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked T174c39,931$29,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,481.4314448.6%70 W · 74 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae5e…13bebacked Dplus KIA26c29,351$7,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,631.2649541.6%206 W · 289 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Dplus KIA23c23,773$5,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,467.7939135.8%140 W · 251 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Dplus KIA18c22,028$3,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,934.6843642.4%185 W · 251 L+18.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc04e…75d9backed Dplus KIA27c20,445$5,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,622.267147.9%34 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c8d…65e7backed Dplus KIA29c20,000$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,8001656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+52.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Dplus KIA25c18,888$4,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,721.941,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Dplus KIA26c17,777$4,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,535.031,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Dplus KIA22c17,544$3,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,891.672,24837.3%838 W · 1,410 L-33.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Dplus KIA25c17,476$4,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,35013846.4%64 W · 74 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Dplus KIA14c15,397$2,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,155.6119338.9%75 W · 118 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked Dplus KIA23c13,612$3,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,130.7214549.7%72 W · 73 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed T170c12,912$9,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,854.652,25533.1%746 W · 1,509 L-76.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a88…4c59backed T178c12,821$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,820.514156.1%23 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x58e3…c540backed Dplus KIA26c12,330$3,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,186.1315146.4%70 W · 81 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Dplus KIA10c11,796$1,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,218.782,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fc5…e3b9backed T174c11,470$8,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,930.8915859.5%94 W · 64 L-13.4wins-0.09per pick68cpaid-13.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Dplus KIA23c11,271$2,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,592.9431428.7%90 W · 224 L+15.1wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed T174c10,900$8,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,83460050.2%301 W · 299 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Dplus KIA23c10,492$2,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,402.881,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Dplus KIA28c10,474$2,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,893.0960054.3%326 W · 274 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Dplus KIA24c10,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4001,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd525…1815backed Dplus KIA28c9,596$2,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,718.8513632.4%44 W · 92 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-26.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed T172c9,363$6,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,605.271,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Dplus KIA23c9,130$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.920947.8%100 W · 109 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+38.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x14d4…c4bfbacked Dplus KIA25c8,912$2,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,228.052050%10 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf024…fbd3backed Dplus KIA22c8,796$1,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,929.8316546.7%77 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a86…cc01backed Dplus KIA23c8,662$1,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,992.2817439.7%69 W · 105 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed Dplus KIA26c8,408$2,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,186.174763.8%30 W · 17 L+9.0wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+50.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed Dplus KIA19c8,000$1,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,524.9547347.4%224 W · 249 L+23.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Dplus KIA17c7,823$1,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,31813333.8%45 W · 88 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Dplus KIA25c7,760$1,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,925.591537.5%343 W · 572 L-19.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac9d…1687backed Dplus KIA24c7,580$1,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,819.25431.5%17 W · 37 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Dplus KIA27c7,500$2,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,024.9915148.3%73 W · 78 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Dplus KIA28c7,500$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.9950040.8%204 W · 296 L+18.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d9f…787abacked Dplus KIA27c7,400$1,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,997.9862345.7%285 W · 338 L+39.2wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Dplus KIA28c7,092$2,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,016.411,07547.1%506 W · 569 L+3.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe705…f910backed Dplus KIA23c6,730$1,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,547.99234.8%32 W · 60 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d5…45eebacked T177c6,494$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,493.5159658.2%347 W · 249 L-29.5wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9348…6664backed T174c6,347$4,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650.2729059%171 W · 119 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd58…18f9backed Dplus KIA25c6,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50021144.5%94 W · 117 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe22a…cb75backed T178c5,733$4,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.25771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef07…bb26backed T172c5,556$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,555.567248.6%35 W · 37 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Dplus KIA14c5,544$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.184040%16 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6135…efa0backed Dplus KIA23c5,269$1,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,226.6613137.4%49 W · 82 L+0.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Dplus KIA14c5,170$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.8312646.8%59 W · 67 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed T177c5,167$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.8236952%192 W · 177 L-18.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd6a…4119backed T172c5,052$3,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,391.451030%3 W · 7 L-3.5wins-0.35per pick65cpaid-54.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked Dplus KIA21c5,035$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.7829940.1%120 W · 179 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked T173c5,000$3,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,35067552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked T178c5,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10015364.1%98 W · 55 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed T177c5,000$3,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,15029952.2%156 W · 143 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed T172c4,984$3,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,400.9119570.8%138 W · 57 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb676…3303backed T176c4,749$3,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,143.442050%10 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6566…ea1ebacked Dplus KIA19c4,731$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.41233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-36%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Dplus KIA23c4,678$1,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,07637640.2%151 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Dplus KIA27c4,615$1,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,254.531,31355.8%733 W · 580 L+43.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked Dplus KIA24c4,400$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.081,22354.4%665 W · 558 L+51.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Dplus KIA26c4,256$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.6943442.4%184 W · 250 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2831…5473backed T175c4,213$3,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.746358.7%37 W · 26 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-11.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c75…1b0dbacked Dplus KIA23c4,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9209129.7%27 W · 64 L-8.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Dplus KIA25c4,000$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0091,47528.9%427 W · 1,048 L+24.7wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa538…12c3backed T177c4,000$3,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.997758.4%45 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Dplus KIA25c4,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.9943539.5%172 W · 263 L-24.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Dplus KIA17c3,719$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.4326942.4%114 W · 155 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc59e…a3febacked Dplus KIA19c3,660$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.788150.6%41 W · 40 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Dplus KIA27c3,623$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.134250.6%173 W · 169 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Dplus KIA26c3,555$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.224445.1%110 W · 134 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked T173c3,533$2,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.825552.7%29 W · 26 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb098…3363backed T173c3,521$2,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.9319456.2%109 W · 85 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Dplus KIA29c3,498$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.4246637.6%175 W · 291 L-19.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked T175c3,469$2,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.1122053.6%118 W · 102 L-1.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd57b…c48fbacked T180c3,375$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6752065%13 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick73cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed T175c3,333$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.251,47361.4%904 W · 569 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7a…aaaebacked Dplus KIA19c3,202$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60026151.7%135 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe80e…a4c5backed T179c3,165$2,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.4918442.4%78 W · 106 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Dplus KIA27c3,000$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81015046%69 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…eda7backed T175c2,989$2,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.012263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked T176c2,930$2,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.3650141.7%209 W · 292 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-33.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed T177c2,886$2,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.8546436.4%169 W · 295 L-24.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-39.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4dd1…7918backed Dplus KIA23c2,852$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.51145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6978…9897backed Dplus KIA16c2,752$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4308949.4%44 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Dplus KIA25c2,723$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.7240332.8%132 W · 271 L-21.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5aae…0da3backed T178c2,714$2,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.43966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+78.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked Dplus KIA23c2,700$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.2849044.5%218 W · 272 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2f7…4899backed T175c2,667$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.673850%19 W · 19 L-7.2wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-31.1%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xf61a…5943backed Dplus KIA13c2,507$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.8913418.7%25 W · 109 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid+7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd142…7adbbacked T175c2,500$1,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x456a…6a90backed Dplus KIA26c2,458$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.4216942%71 W · 98 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked T179c2,458$1,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.5320826.9%56 W · 152 L-13.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-48.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed Dplus KIA26c2,447$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.1616933.1%56 W · 113 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3445…d229backed Dplus KIA2c2,400$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365873.6%21 W · 566 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+176.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked T178c2,375$1,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.4222245.9%102 W · 120 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c0…1506backed T173c2,304$1,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.0440463.4%256 W · 148 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.