Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fd7fa1a34983875b1d179ba696a78818f1ce4227ab28a182f81788bf7715e6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,314
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,314 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 31c | 4,828$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.1 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Over | 69c | 3,208$2,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.48 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 70c | 581$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.3 | 253 | 42.7%108 W · 145 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81b5…56cdbacked Under | 32c | 499.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1891…fd78backed Over | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8d…a7a8backed Under | 34c | 399.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Under | 33c | 345.87$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.94 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf38…848bbacked Over | 67c | 281.95$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.04 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Under | 40c | 252.5$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Over | 60c | 231.17$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.47 | 470 | 47.4%223 W · 247 L | +24.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed Under | 33c | 228.2$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.31 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -9.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3a…7fdcbacked Under | 34c | 206.01$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Over | 70c | 201.81$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.64 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b5…1ec0backed Over | 67c | 193.16$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.09 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 70c | 146.06$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.82 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…55b8backed Over | 69c | 144.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.89 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Under | 32c | 143.16$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.81 | 379 | 48.3%183 W · 196 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Over | 70c | 142.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.03 | 660 | 58.8%388 W · 272 L | -36.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80e1…8a22backed Over | 70c | 140.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.07 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 69c | 136.41$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.29 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 15c | 134$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee0e…38bbbacked Under | 38c | 130.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 760 | 47%357 W · 403 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Under | 31c | 124.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dab…4211backed Over | 67c | 120$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked Over | 68c | 120$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…3a30backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Over | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e2…68f1backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 212 | 56.1%119 W · 93 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…765dbacked Under | 33c | 79.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 843 | 60.1%507 W · 336 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b85…c314backed Over | 70c | 71.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa621…6e29backed Over | 70c | 62.72$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 31c | 59.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 27c | 55.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 68c | 46.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c36…e462backed Under | 38c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…6ababacked Under | 39c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa98d…dff6backed Over | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Under | 48c | 36.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 364 | 60.2%219 W · 145 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Over | 61c | 30.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 348 | 49.1%171 W · 177 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac8d…f98cbacked Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce12…0252backed Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cda…81d4backed Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 65 | 73.8%48 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd5…5bf5backed Over | 70c | 28.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Under | 39c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 573 | 49.4%283 W · 290 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…6aafbacked Over | 70c | 22.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 116 | 59.5%69 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?Yes won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)T1 won
- Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Dplus KIA (+2.5)Dplus KIA won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier PlayoffsT1 won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerDplus KIA won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 3 WinnerT1 won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 4 WinnerT1 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.