TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Dplus KIA (+2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dplus KIAof T1, Dplus KIA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,971
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,904

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,971 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d13…643cbacked Dplus KIA71c1,838$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.1850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f8…d85abacked Dplus KIA64c1,562$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.811275%9 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+29%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed T137c1,307$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.591,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed T132c1,292$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.051,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd12c…ed3dbacked Dplus KIA73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27012649.2%62 W · 64 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed T129c965.9$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28053753.6%288 W · 249 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed T127c814.47$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.9125143.4%109 W · 142 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked Dplus KIA57c727.56$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.2632555.7%181 W · 144 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x167e…28d9backed Dplus KIA76c572.17$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.621838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed T137c499.98$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.9960053.2%319 W · 281 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed Dplus KIA71c440.3$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.1875738.6%292 W · 465 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Dplus KIA62c437.22$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.2230440.1%122 W · 182 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e83…a620backed T145c382.9$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.476253.2%33 W · 29 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x09ce…af35backed Dplus KIA63c379.5$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.9632755.7%182 W · 145 L+17.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a2c…5172backed T129c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043640.6%177 W · 259 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78ee…565bbacked T160c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed T133c227.87$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.237948.3%183 W · 196 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37a1…bedfbacked Dplus KIA58c206.99$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.5111344.2%50 W · 63 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe10c…e7e2backed T125c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010842.6%46 W · 62 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed T129c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581,24242.6%529 W · 713 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf555…b36bbacked T129c198.28$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.54450%22 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed T128c188.89$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.891,37248.6%667 W · 705 L+57.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a61…bbb2backed T129c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032142.1%135 W · 186 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f2d…0211backed Dplus KIA56c170$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.83363.6%21 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed T135c149.26$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.691854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x750c…d430backed Dplus KIA67c147.76$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7632653.4%174 W · 152 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5874…64c3backed T129c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404949%24 W · 25 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed T130c116.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3528250%141 W · 141 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x729e…a820backed Dplus KIA73c114.74$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.981866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfcf…a26ebacked T145c112.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036331.1%113 W · 250 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5955…f86ebacked Dplus KIA72c87.12$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.392100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick66cpaid+54.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9bf…8ec8backed T128c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018555.1%102 W · 83 L+13.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf05d…6ababacked T143c70$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8440%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbed4…f891backed T139c64.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2551247.3%242 W · 270 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed Dplus KIA52c62.05$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0935054.6%191 W · 159 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Dplus KIA54c58.61$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.962,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked Dplus KIA74c54.05$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0523880.3%191 W · 47 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked T126c54.05$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.051,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82cf…3d55backed Dplus KIA63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.510240.2%41 W · 61 L-8.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x58e3…c540backed T142c49$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7215146.4%70 W · 81 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf095…58c6backed T129c48.45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0532050%160 W · 160 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaaf5…e71cbacked T142c47.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205145.1%23 W · 28 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed T144c45.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.092,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d23…fcdfbacked Dplus KIA67c44.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.66875%6 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb700…5a62backed T129c37.93$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119857.1%56 W · 42 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7456…5148backed T143c34.63$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513836.2%50 W · 88 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf429…cbdcbacked Dplus KIA46c32.6$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.63855.3%21 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e2…68f1backed Dplus KIA75c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.421256.1%119 W · 93 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Dplus KIA67c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7174849.6%371 W · 377 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac8d…f98cbacked Dplus KIA76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3224257%138 W · 104 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71fd…a58fbacked Dplus KIA60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101040%4 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Dplus KIA62c22.4$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5124251.7%125 W · 117 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb441…f757backed T148c21.35$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2710959.6%65 W · 44 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe581…d77abacked Dplus KIA64c18.63$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.638156.8%46 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked Dplus KIA71c14.83$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.314545.5%66 W · 79 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.