TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5955…f86e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Asian League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 53 out of 100; worst WNBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.84
Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 6.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.4
Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 113.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.68
Pelicans vs. Suns: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+81.8%+$107.98
1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+104.1%+$49.95
Thunder vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 107.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$74.15
Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$15.05
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.44
1H Spread: Lakers (-1.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+92.3%+$101.06
Mavericks vs. Pacers: 1H Moneylinebacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+85.2%+$35.45
Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+156.4%+$19.32
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+112.8%+$71.71
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+38.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-39.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-63.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick66cpaid+54.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Dplus KIA (+2.5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$24.39
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+69.5%+$32.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.74
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winnerbacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$13.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Las Vegas Aces vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 182.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.01
Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 168.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Cremonese vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$12.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta United FC vs. Philadelphia Union: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$57.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Getafe CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+42.9%+$12.03
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon Ducks vs. Washington Huskies (W)backed Oregon Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$18.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)backed FC Metz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$123.64
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.