Asian League · resolved market
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde55263f4843ff39efeba08884e6e92b2af80fddf4ce93586dc5b12736b29dbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,934
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,934 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 2,729$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.53 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 43c | 2,474$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d4…5f81backed Over | 41c | 2,200$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.95 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 2,027$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.21 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 54c | 780.15$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.56 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 47c | 639.52$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.55 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 50c | 333$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.84 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997a…4cbebacked Over | 65c | 153.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 33c | 106.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 424 | 25.9%110 W · 314 L | -32.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 43c | 105.61$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d75…1af0backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed1d…6fd3backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Under | 58c | 99.84$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.51 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x348f…a206backed Under | 59c | 93.22$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 71c | 72.59$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.54 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5955…f86ebacked Under | 28c | 70.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…5294backed Over | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 72cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…8a42backed Under | 29c | 65.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…d0a6backed Under | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 45c | 52.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf0…4eadbacked Over | 40c | 52.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe335…9db0backed Over | 73c | 50.68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 273 | 38.8%106 W · 167 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb15d…e73fbacked Over | 69c | 46.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b37…039dbacked Over | 72c | 42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 61cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…ff77backed Over | 74c | 41.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x692f…6455backed Over | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 71c | 39.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd1…344fbacked Over | 58c | 38.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Over | 64c | 37.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4658backed Over | 72c | 35.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over | 55c | 34.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 61c | 29.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Over | 76c | 28.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…31ebbacked Under | 72c | 27.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 67.4%58 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfe…4b94backed Under | 59c | 27.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fee…39efbacked Over | 74c | 27.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Over | 45c | 26.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3227…5df7backed Over | 72c | 25.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked Over | 66c | 22.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed Over | 66c | 20.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…7a3fbacked Over | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…af55backed Over | 72c | 20.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 72c | 18.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe43c…ccd5backed Over | 72c | 18.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…b654backed Over | 72c | 18.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa88…9ff5backed Over | 72c | 17.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…41c4backed Over | 72c | 16.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 1.5this page
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 2.5Under won
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kashiwa Reysol vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Kashiwa Reysol (-1.5)Urawa Red Diamonds won
- Spread: Urawa Red Diamonds (-1.5)Kashiwa Reysol won
- Spread: Urawa Red Diamonds (-2.5)Kashiwa Reysol won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.