TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xaa88…9ff5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Australian A League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Australian A League at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1H Spread: Kings (-0.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.06
Deni Avdija: Points O/U 21.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.4
Spread: Heat (-2.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$80.76
Magic vs. Heat: 1H Moneylinebacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.39
Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 113.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.88
Celtics vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$26.4
Nuggets vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 112.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.21
Mavericks vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 116.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$42.38
Clippers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$44.75
Nets vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$28.8
Thunder vs. Knicks: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$42.64
Cason Wallace: Assists O/U 2.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$18.39
Magic vs. Lakers: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$58.43
Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+100%+$37.46
Bilal Coulibaly: Assists O/U 2.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$122.48
All 15 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.06
Capitals vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$15.54
SHL: Froelunda HC vs. Skellefteaabacked Froelunda HC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$23.67
Jets vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+138.1%+$36.51
All 4 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)backed Fenerbahçe SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.62
Eyüpspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+203%+$32.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Getafe CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.26
FC Andorra vs. Real Zaragoza: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+112.8%+$108.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs JiJieHao (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Abacked 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$75.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$53.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Karlsruher SC vs. Holstein Kiel: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$24.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs. Southeastern Louisiana Lionsbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$17.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KKS Lech Poznań vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dallas Wings vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 173.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.