Premier League · resolved market
Birmingham City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeeec088ed7245d1cf7f0a17d4d52f17c5d7d0d2dc45634cbe7c2bc5ef5cbc79b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,366
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,649
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,366 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 73c | 1,852$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.67 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 1,787$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.79 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Under | 49c | 1,600$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 51c | 1,470$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.3 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 52c | 1,250$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Under | 21c | 1,249$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.66 | 117 | 27.4%32 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 1,094$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.07 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Over | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 49c | 630.8$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.72 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Over | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fa…8c66backed Under | 49c | 552.91$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 54c | 481.48$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.48 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 54c | 296.3$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.3 | 145 | 51.7%75 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 46c | 224.46$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.25 | 351 | 57.8%203 W · 148 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 52c | 220$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 192 | 35.9%69 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 48c | 195$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Over | 71c | 174.27$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.43 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 51c | 172$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.28 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6a…089bbacked Over | 51c | 135.55$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 46c | 135$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 46c | 112.14$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.58 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 54c | 111$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeedf…1483backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 75c | 87.76$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 46c | 84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 283 | 59.4%168 W · 115 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77e5…7b3ebacked Over | 53c | 66.14$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…b2a2backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 269 | 59.9%161 W · 108 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 47c | 43.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…9880backed Over | 54c | 40.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…6e69backed Under | 49c | 34.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0af…898bbacked Over | 54c | 34.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4c…cec8backed Under | 49c | 34.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c55…62e2backed Under | 47c | 33.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1e…e503backed Under | 49c | 33.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89bc…00a1backed Under | 47c | 33.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6461…16d5backed Over | 54c | 33.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa88…9ff5backed Under | 49c | 32.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3f…00a1backed Under | 47c | 31.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…ae1bbacked Over | 54c | 31.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…4e3dbacked Under | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f06…c625backed Under | 47c | 30.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 255 | 53.7%137 W · 118 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 48c | 24.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 70c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 253 | 48.2%122 W · 131 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Birmingham City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Birmingham City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Birmingham City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Birmingham City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Birmingham City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Birmingham City FC (-1.5)Middlesbrough FC won
- Spread: Birmingham City FC (-2.5)Middlesbrough FC won
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)Middlesbrough FC won
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-2.5)Birmingham City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.