Premier League · resolved market
Birmingham City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f4f0b36c7d1b6933e32c8602d2b4b0168f9338733201577bd2eebb75b2b98ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 3,956$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670.07 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 41c | 2,145$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.8 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Yes | 58c | 844.31$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.61 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 57c | 814.02$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.03 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Yes | 60c | 812.65$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.65 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 39c | 662.87$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.77 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Yes | 56c | 399.99$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…dc8cbacked Yes | 60c | 394.42$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.77 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb5…cabdbacked Yes | 59c | 263.85$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.18 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Yes | 59c | 255.22$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.22 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 57c | 245.1$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.54 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7e…cbbdbacked Yes | 60c | 233.33$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 58c | 206.03$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.55 | 117 | 27.4%32 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe851…9471backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…3c16backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.37per pick | 60cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x500c…883cbacked Yes | 59c | 168.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 41c | 149.53$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.7 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e46…e394backed Yes | 59c | 126.65$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.65 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 67c | 121.08$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.25 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24de…da7fbacked Yes | 59c | 119.52$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 145 | 51.7%75 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…3be4backed Yes | 57c | 91.23$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.23 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x621e…471fbacked Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b4…01fdbacked Yes | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5683…3ea1backed Yes | 58c | 67.24$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Yes | 58c | 64.86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 41c | 58.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 59c | 53$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 42c | 44.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff5e…a98cbacked Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked No | 41c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabee…4f3fbacked No | 43c | 35.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +179.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…9ac1backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 59c | 27.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…dbe9backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8168…97e2backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1029…3161backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13e7…dc8fbacked Yes | 58c | 22.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Birmingham City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Birmingham City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Birmingham City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Birmingham City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Birmingham City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Birmingham City FC (-1.5)Middlesbrough FC won
- Spread: Birmingham City FC (-2.5)Middlesbrough FC won
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-1.5)Middlesbrough FC won
- Spread: Middlesbrough FC (-2.5)Birmingham City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.