TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5683…3ea1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
204
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Serie A, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 57 out of 100; worst Australian A League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT3661.1%22 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Ipswich Town FC vs. Millwall FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$20.3
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$20.82
Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Wrexham AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+46%+$57.08
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+38.9%+$11.67
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+38.9%+$35
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+54.5%+$68.1
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+37%+$19.97
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$21.72
Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$24.55
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Birmingham City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+72.4%+$28.24
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$22.5
Fulham FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+75.4%+$18.86
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.99
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT3360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Sevilla FC vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Getafe CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$9.41
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Getafe CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Getafe CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$11.5
Villarreal CF vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.45
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$19.82
CA Osasuna vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+33.3%+$16.67
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+81.8%+$81.82
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Girona FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+70%+$48.99
Elche CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+44.9%+$11.23
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+97.8%+$20.53
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+37%+$7.4
Will Levante UD win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+169%+$84.49
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+77%+$30.03
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$13.45
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$127
Real Betis Balompié vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+127.3%+$38.18
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+72.4%+$15.93
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT2576%19 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick64cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atalanta BC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.71
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.65
Juventus FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.88
AC Milan vs. Torino FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$8.46
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.36
Genoa CFC vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$31.51
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Udinese Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+40.8%+$12.25
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+100%+$20
AS Roma vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+88%+$58.08
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$19.64
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+73.1%+$24.12
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Atalanta BC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+156.4%+$31.28
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+49.3%+$14.78
Juventus FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+26.6%+$13.29
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$40
AC Milan vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.92
Cagliari Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+58.7%+$14.68
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15.99
SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+37%+$60.66
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+45.9%+$18.18
All 25 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT2369.6%16 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.68
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.18
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.96
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$13.03
Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+78.8%+$15.76
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+72.4%+$11.59
Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+69.5%+$9.73
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+92.3%+$33.23
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Newcastle United FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.63
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$57
Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Club Brugge KV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.09
Club Brugge KV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+80.5%+$27.94
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+33.3%+$7.33
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 23 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+91.3%+$13.69
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.38
KRC Genk vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+33.3%+$7.67
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Samsunspor win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.97
VfB Stuttgart vs. Celtic FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Ferencvárosi TC vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.05
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Samsunspor win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+194.1%+$38.82
HŠK Zrinjski Mostar vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$30
SK Brann vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
HŠK Zrinjski Mostar vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+36.6%+$7.32
PAOK vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.32
GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. KRC Genk: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.03
All 19 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$12.24
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.47
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+38.9%+$21
Will FC Metz win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.74
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$17.5
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Racing Club de Lens: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+58.3%+$14.57
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+47.1%+$19.76
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+78.1%+$36.69
Angers SCO vs. Lille OSC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Stade Brestois 29 vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+81.8%+$13.5
Olympique Lyonnais vs. OGC Nice: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+30%+$28.6
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+66.7%+$16.67
AS Monaco FC vs. FC Nantes: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$34.24
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.75
All 19 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1675%12 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
1. FC Union Berlin vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+28.2%+$12.97
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+26.6%+$15.95
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+138.1%+$23.48
Will Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.82
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$12.31
SG Dynamo Dresden vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+49.3%+$7.39
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.97
1. FC Köln vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+33.3%+$26.67
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$43
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+40.8%+$12.66
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+35.1%+$10.4
All 16 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. FC Juárez end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.96
Will CS Cienciano vs. FBC Melgar end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Will América de Cali vs. CA Bucaramanga end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+42.9%+$12.86
Will Club Nacional vs. Recoleta FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will CA Boston River vs. Racing Club de Montevideo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+47.1%+$25.88
Will CF Monterrey vs. Querétaro FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+35.1%+$17.57
Will CA Lanús vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+53.8%+$37.69
Will CS Trinidense vs. Club Olimpia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+34.2%+$27.39
Will Caracas FC vs. Metropolitanos FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will CA Tucumán vs. Racing Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+49.3%+$29.06
Will Barcelona SC vs. Botafogo FR end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30
CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Lanús: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
AA Estudiantes vs. CA Huracán: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+32%+$7.05
Santos FC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+40.8%+$9.39
All 15 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+55.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.