TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will FC Metz win on 2026-03-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$165,073
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$157,972

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,073 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8790…010bbacked Yes27c45,000$12,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,331.015040%20 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes34c26,781$9,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,085.316942%29 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No73c6,427$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,72748649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes50c6,352$3,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,176.1137638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No72c5,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40014346.9%67 W · 76 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No76c3,667$2,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.241,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No72c3,037$2,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.4520232.7%66 W · 136 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes26c1,923$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9821143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes23c1,862$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4244723.4%11 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes28c1,693$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47431049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No72c1,638$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.6424642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe533…ab29backed Yes24c1,500$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x38fe…a923backed No66c1,384$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.561154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid-21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No75c1,371$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.2515048.7%73 W · 77 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x02fa…2f38backed Yes1c1,250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No74c1,017$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.3328448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8011916.8%20 W · 99 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0652…9134backed Yes51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No74c948$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.579863.3%62 W · 36 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes28c878.62$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.555328.3%15 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac1…a0f2backed Yes49c816.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes26c626.92$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1636119.7%12 W · 49 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-52%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4114…facbbacked Yes38c609.66$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.6720%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No72c609.03$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.738056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes51c598.24$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.911735.9%42 W · 75 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed No72c596$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.932360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No74c586.69$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.9262648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes43c581.51$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a55…c349backed Yes28c554.11$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf06…b605backed Yes50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c2c…90d4backed Yes34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0176…ff71backed Yes44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-41.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No72c474.29$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.715071.3%107 W · 43 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005151%26 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xedd0…731cbacked No77c429.94$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.941872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Yes27c417.53$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.7420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes28c368.43$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.095832.8%19 W · 39 L-8.0wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-43.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd243…56e5backed Yes8c350$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-50.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Yes16c333.63$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553228.1%9 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-48%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb3a0…f9d1backed Yes6c330.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No72c305$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.44330.2%13 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-38%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4457…f3e2backed Yes32c299.96$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.991315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-42.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xecad…875cbacked Yes28c280$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.42528%7 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf32a…8c87backed Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126529.2%19 W · 46 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143122.6%7 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes47c199.53$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6618046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes30c196.2$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8222854.4%124 W · 104 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f4c…a6a1backed Yes11c185.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+100%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507746.8%36 W · 41 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Yes26c180$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.85236.5%19 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3454…333bbacked Yes35c137.57$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.51241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff6b…c91abacked Yes51c117.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-67.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked No80c111.03$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.213568.6%24 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes27c106.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5813844.2%61 W · 77 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89fd…da5dbacked Yes50c106.08$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+45.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101010%1 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick28cpaid-82.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4d5…13eebacked No74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264676.1%35 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick71cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1184…8175backed Yes52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes20c98.95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7915649.4%77 W · 79 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc049…7cf6backed Yes35c98.71$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc0…eb3cbacked Yes42c96.51$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes44c92.25$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3217251.2%88 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes49c90$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.14257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c3b…6583backed Yes51c88.24$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455064%32 W · 18 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+26%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc3df…16d6backed Yes51c88.24$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453265.6%21 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No72c82.46$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.031,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06fd…2a05backed Yes48c81.25$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe824…6002backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-29.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x071c…bab9backed Yes25c78.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203225%8 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x751b…90fbbacked Yes39c76.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3050%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes31c76.77$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6418360.7%111 W · 72 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ae2…8d89backed Yes28c72.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.361010%1 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-74.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed No72c71.47$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.012339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked No72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4426550.6%134 W · 131 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed Yes42c68.4$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.393040%12 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63aa…c5c8backed Yes43c67.53$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.993132.3%10 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes27c65.93$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.852550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No74c62.14$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4418155.2%100 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe68d…a292backed Yes26c61.12$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.89850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Yes33c60.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206159%36 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5683…3ea1backed Yes35c57.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes26c54.85$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2687344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf026…ca17backed Yes39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d01…16c7backed No69c50.72$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.72250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1418245.6%83 W · 99 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed No72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1410855.6%60 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1420454.4%111 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae9a…7ceabacked No69c44.41$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.77742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-43.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No70c42.2$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.484062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2186…271bbacked Yes48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+70.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf026…20dfbacked Yes37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No73c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7835650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Yes26c39.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.49246.7%43 W · 49 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed No73c39.16$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7710960.6%66 W · 43 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd019…4ee0backed Yes51c38.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.76714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick44cpaid-56.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0bb…049fbacked No55c38.19$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No70c37$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.999051.1%46 W · 44 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes51c35.38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186342.9%27 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x449e…4f8ebacked No73c33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.911060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.