TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xff6b…c91a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
175
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: NFL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 57 out of 100; worst Champions League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT4035%14 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Suns vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Mavericks vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+82.9%+$35.23
Thunder vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$28.8
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$7
Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Nuggets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$29.8
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+104.1%+$35.7
Spread: Rockets (-14.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20.35
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+122.2%+$19.25
Kings vs. Lakersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Spread: Lakers (-13.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$17.02
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$45
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$39.6
Spread: Thunder (-17.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+67.5%+$24.41
Spread: Hawks (-15.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$56
Trail Blazers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Rockets vs. Magicbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Hornets vs. Pacers: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$76.42
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Lakers (-6.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+103.4%+$13.44
Magic vs. Lakers: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$26.8
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Guadalajara vs. Deportivo Toluca FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
CF Monterrey vs. Club Santos Laguna: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.31
Atlético San Luis vs. CF Cruz Azul: CF Cruz Azul O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$43.1
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$24.12
Will Pumas de la UNAM vs. Deportivo Toluca FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Atlético San Luis vs. Mazatlán FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Atlético San Luis (-1.5)backed Mazatlán FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Club Santos Laguna vs. CF Cruz Azul: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15.99
CF América vs. Tigres de la UANL: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$74.85
Will Club León FC vs. Club Necaxa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+122.2%+$68.17
Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will FC Juárez vs. Atlas FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$17.1
Mazatlán FC vs. CF Pachuca: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+107.8%+$47.15
Botafogo FR vs. CA Nacional Potosí: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$22
Spread: Botafogo FR (-2.5)backed CA Nacional Potosí · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+151.2%+$32.8
Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)backed SC Corinthians Paulista · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$17
EC Bahia vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+76.7%+$49.84
Will CA Talleres win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$19.8
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will CF Cruz Azul vs. CD Guadalajara end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Club Puebla vs. CF América end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$17.99
Will Tigres de la UANL vs. CF Pachuca end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$35.98
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$11.37
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$170
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+376.2%+$41.38
Leeds United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+104.1%+$15.61
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$41
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+97%+$49.48
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+72.2%+$93.91
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$58.7
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+122.2%+$18.33
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+65.3%+$32.65
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Brentford FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+244.8%+$48.97
Chelsea FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$31.86
All 17 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+82.1%+$32.84
Will Pisa SC vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$34.74
Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)backed Bologna FC 1909 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+284.6%+$65.46
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Genoa CFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+66.7%+$21.33
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$22.36
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)backed ACF Fiorentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10
ACF Fiorentina vs. Pisa SC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.84
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+72.4%+$18.06
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25
US Lecce vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+100%+$20
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-22.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+94%+$68.91
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$82.02
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+72.4%+$17.09
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.72
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+212.5%+$36.13
FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$31.8
FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$14.26
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$29.44
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.02
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)backed Real Oviedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Real Sporting de Gijón vs. CD Leganés end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+186.8%+$33.5
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+61.3%+$10.86
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$32.8
Will Girona FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$58.54
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+88.7%+$42.57
Levante UD vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+88.7%+$48.14
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+143.8%+$80.83
Will CA Osasuna vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+132.6%+$20.15
All 11 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+43.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+60.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+78.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-41.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-67.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+72.4%+$15.21
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$29.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. UC Irvine Anteatersbacked UC Irvine Anteaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+143.8%+$49.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran strike Israel on March 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC (-2.5)backed Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flames vs. Sharks: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$95
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Zarichne by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$24.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Moreno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$69.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.