TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Atlético San Luis vs. CF Cruz Azul: CF Cruz Azul O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,169
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,099

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,169 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under67c784.93$526 inLost-$525.831,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over49c730.01$354 inWon+$375.811,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under51c701.53$355 inLost-$355.373,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Over33c670.48$221 inWon+$449.229641.7%40 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c335.7$163 inLost-$163.118,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf531…121cbacked Over50c300$150 inWon+$1502250%11 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under50c300$150 inLost-$1503935.9%14 W · 25 L-5.6wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-27.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over51c283.11$145 inWon+$138.2689846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over40c270.12$109 inWon+$161.3989645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under48c203.74$98 inLost-$97.8816160.9%98 W · 63 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x92c1…244dbacked Over68c132.35$90 inWon+$42.512646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over44c99.06$44 inWon+$55.451750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xff6b…c91abacked Over52c89.79$47 inWon+$43.12832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under48c89.79$43 inLost-$43.12,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over57c89.69$51 inWon+$38.751,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under44c58.36$26 inLost-$25.782,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x132b…ac21backed Under49c49.93$25 inLost-$24.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Over38c45.72$17 inWon+$28.2227442%115 W · 159 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over38c34$13 inWon+$21.0818426.1%48 W · 136 L-0.5wins0.00per pick26cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over52c28.85$15 inWon+$13.8515651.9%81 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under65c27.13$18 inLost-$17.761,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over52c24.34$13 inWon+$11.5816864.9%109 W · 59 L+14.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x074c…771cbacked Under76c20$15 inLost-$15.21376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick70cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.