South American Leagues · resolved market
Atlético San Luis vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9186add5dd16731820778bd53323a112dd3b900fea4b2a19a857ddd43d05f35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,739
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,739 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 41c | 2,848$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.95 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b79…b1bebacked Over | 67c | 2,775$1,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.59 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…5e3fbacked Over | 55c | 1,830$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 33c | 1,783$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.77 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 13c | 1,630$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.78 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 61c | 1,548$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.99 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 38c | 1,173$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.53 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c35…78abbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 15cpaid | +312.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Over | 70c | 854.09$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.23 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Over | 63c | 772.62$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.87 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4658backed Over | 63c | 765.16$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.36 | 66 | 68.2%45 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 29c | 763.47$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.58 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 62c | 646.9$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.1 | 206 | 65%134 W · 72 L | +24.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…896cbacked Under | 11c | 603.37$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 65c | 459.02$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.53 | 246 | 65.9%162 W · 84 L | +26.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed Over | 55c | 445.82$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.88 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 54c | 413$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.98 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Over | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 25c | 375.23$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.61 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 62c | 337.03$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.32 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +24.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 70c | 315.6$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.68 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 57c | 276.91$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.84 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 69c | 262.05$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.25 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 36c | 255.55$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.85 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 41c | 248.48$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.64 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Under | 18c | 226.53$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Over | 69c | 217.8$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.65 | 42 | 81%34 W · 8 L | +12.2wins | +0.29per pick | 52cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 31c | 210.9$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.44 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Under | 68c | 200$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 33c | 195$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 32c | 182.25$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.93 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6baa…0276backed Under | 32c | 168.9$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Over | 62c | 161.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.19 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 47c | 157.18$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.45 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Over | 54c | 130.55$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.94 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 54c | 107.74$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.18 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 61c | 99.97$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.98 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 39c | 94.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 33c | 87.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…cd9abacked Over | 55c | 72.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.91 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 46c | 72.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Under | 42c | 64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 38c | 64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec1e…0d9cbacked Over | 71c | 58.78$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 33c | 48.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 54c | 46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 41c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 32c | 44.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 32c | 37.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 119 | 44.5%53 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f3…f487backed Under | 71c | 36.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.31per pick | 61cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 57c | 29.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Over | 71c | 25.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Over | 60c | 25.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…3658backed Under | 53c | 22.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlético San Luis vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 3.5this page
- Atlético San Luis vs. CF Cruz Azul: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Atlético San Luis vs. CF Cruz Azul: Atlético San Luis O/U 0.5Over won
- Atlético San Luis vs. CF Cruz Azul: Atlético San Luis O/U 1.5Over won
- Atlético San Luis vs. CF Cruz Azul: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Atlético San Luis vs. CF Cruz Azul: CF Cruz Azul O/U 0.5Over won
- Atlético San Luis vs. CF Cruz Azul: CF Cruz Azul O/U 1.5Over won
- Atlético San Luis vs. CF Cruz Azul: CF Cruz Azul O/U 2.5Over won
- Atlético San Luis vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 0.5Over won
- Atlético San Luis vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 1.5Over won
- Atlético San Luis vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 2.5Over won
- Atlético San Luis vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 4.5Over won
- Atlético San Luis vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Atlético San Luis (-1.5)CF Cruz Azul won
- Spread: Atlético San Luis (-2.5)CF Cruz Azul won
- Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)Atlético San Luis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.