South American Leagues · resolved market
Atlético San Luis vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec95fa77b1b450189413031aea8098e4ffbc6aa054ecfd09fa1e6dbb8d6dbdc0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,679
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,913
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,679 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 35c | 2,565$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.19 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 2,416$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.37 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 1,338$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.91 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 6c | 1,118$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.01 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3e…0b87backed Over | 55c | 801.89$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Over | 78c | 613.59$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.06 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 25c | 415.25$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.25 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 50c | 402.59$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Over | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 56c | 350$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 51c | 338.4$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.94 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 21c | 338.09$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 61c | 248.06$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.76 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 41c | 229.69$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.6 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Under | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 54c | 195.22$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.68 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 16c | 131.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…121cbacked Over | 53c | 125.3$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.89 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6102…1913backed Over | 78c | 117.4$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…79d3backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a40…840ebacked Over | 55c | 99.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 47c | 99.98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.79 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 74c | 91.78$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Over | 46c | 81.72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.47 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 26c | 75.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.64 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 44c | 73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 45c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 52c | 69.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.79 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 44c | 66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 41c | 64.83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.93 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdef1…e893backed Under | 23c | 55.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 80c | 44.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 54c | 43.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…a79abacked Under | 45c | 41.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…802bbacked Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 58c | 30.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Under | 47c | 22.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlético San Luis vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 2.5this page
- Atlético San Luis vs. CF Cruz Azul: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Atlético San Luis vs. CF Cruz Azul: Atlético San Luis O/U 0.5Over won
- Atlético San Luis vs. CF Cruz Azul: Atlético San Luis O/U 1.5Over won
- Atlético San Luis vs. CF Cruz Azul: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Atlético San Luis vs. CF Cruz Azul: CF Cruz Azul O/U 0.5Over won
- Atlético San Luis vs. CF Cruz Azul: CF Cruz Azul O/U 1.5Over won
- Atlético San Luis vs. CF Cruz Azul: CF Cruz Azul O/U 2.5Over won
- Atlético San Luis vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 0.5Over won
- Atlético San Luis vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 1.5Over won
- Atlético San Luis vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 3.5Over won
- Atlético San Luis vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 4.5Over won
- Atlético San Luis vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Atlético San Luis (-1.5)CF Cruz Azul won
- Spread: Atlético San Luis (-2.5)CF Cruz Azul won
- Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)Atlético San Luis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.