TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Atlético San Luis vs. CF Cruz Azul: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,374
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,940

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,374 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No58c567.06$330 inLost-$329.658,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No43c521.33$227 inLost-$226.551,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cab…f595backed Yes29c310.34$90 inWon+$220.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fb4…8898backed Yes56c178.57$100 inWon+$78.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d20…05c8backed Yes57c176.16$100 inWon+$76.161764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+29.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x425a…c41ebacked Yes67c149.25$100 inWon+$49.252365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No43c125.45$54 inLost-$53.992,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes57c96.31$55 inWon+$41.7166837.1%248 W · 420 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes37c89.99$33 inWon+$56.6951750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed Yes57c87.72$50 inWon+$37.727156.3%40 W · 31 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No62c84.92$53 inLost-$52.835,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No44c76.78$34 inLost-$33.723,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked Yes42c76.43$32 inWon+$44.5916845.2%76 W · 92 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a1e…f992backed No51c64.42$33 inLost-$335141.2%21 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes57c50.57$29 inWon+$21.921,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Yes65c40$26 inWon+$1416349.1%80 W · 83 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes48c39.42$19 inWon+$20.51,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes39c30$12 inWon+$18.448547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes57c29.42$17 inWon+$12.6531136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No43c25.18$11 inLost-$10.832,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…d429backed Yes57c25.18$14 inWon+$10.83683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick58cpaid+43.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No65c25$16 inLost-$16.2572350.5%365 W · 358 L-24.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x70ff…f058backed Yes56c25$14 inWon+$11666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed No63c19.3$12 inLost-$12.1611944.5%53 W · 66 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.