TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Atlético San Luisof CF Cruz Azul, Atlético San Luis
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,181
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,639

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,181 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed CF Cruz Azul25c10,750$2,721 inLost-$2,720.692,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Atlético San Luis76c1,989$1,505 inWon+$483.848,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Atlético San Luis70c1,400$984 inWon+$41616160.9%98 W · 63 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Atlético San Luis70c1,200$834 inWon+$3661,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Atlético San Luis67c1,000$670 inWon+$3301,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Atlético San Luis70c757$529 inWon+$228.192,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Atlético San Luis70c746$521 inWon+$224.761,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Atlético San Luis70c745.93$521 inWon+$224.741,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Atlético San Luis70c390.34$273 inWon+$117.6831039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4a6…c03bbacked CF Cruz Azul32c316.19$100 inLost-$1003860.5%23 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked CF Cruz Azul6c312.56$19 inLost-$18.832,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed CF Cruz Azul26c210.38$55 inLost-$55.094436.4%16 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Atlético San Luis68c179.42$122 inWon+$57.4140451.2%207 W · 197 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Atlético San Luis69c150$104 inWon+$46.570055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Atlético San Luis67c140$94 inWon+$46.214643.2%63 W · 83 L-9.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Atlético San Luis70c116$81 inWon+$35.262,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Atlético San Luis72c105$76 inWon+$29.41,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5040…96cfbacked CF Cruz Azul21c100$21 inLost-$211338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Atlético San Luis70c80.9$57 inWon+$24.271,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Atlético San Luis72c79$57 inWon+$22.232,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Atlético San Luis70c77.02$54 inWon+$23.1111848.3%57 W · 61 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Atlético San Luis70c70$49 inWon+$213650%18 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Atlético San Luis74c66.91$49 inWon+$17.5895155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Atlético San Luis66c50$33 inWon+$1710352.4%54 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Atlético San Luis72c49.38$36 inWon+$13.8216864.9%109 W · 59 L+14.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed CF Cruz Azul27c49.33$13 inLost-$13.3329653%157 W · 139 L+1.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf9e3…cc35backed Atlético San Luis73c47.95$35 inWon+$12.951369.2%9 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick69cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked CF Cruz Azul34c47.06$16 inLost-$167347.9%35 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Atlético San Luis68c25$17 inWon+$814359.4%85 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Atlético San Luis73c25$18 inWon+$6.8548547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Atlético San Luis69c24.4$17 inWon+$7.53,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbad…4f53backed Atlético San Luis74c20.27$15 inWon+$5.275347.2%25 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44eb…48c6backed Atlético San Luis73c20.27$15 inWon+$5.47450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Atlético San Luis80c18.02$14 inWon+$3.629245.2%132 W · 160 L-24.0wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b89…23fbbacked Atlético San Luis69c18$12 inWon+$5.521154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Atlético San Luis71c14.38$10 inWon+$4.17633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-42.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Atlético San Luis80c13.98$11 inWon+$2.872350.5%365 W · 358 L-24.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.