TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5b89…23fb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
270
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst MLB at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT8237.8%31 W · 51 L-9.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-28.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
MLB — the 82 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)backed Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.1
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.25
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)backed Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.85
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+81.3%+$13.45
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$9.3
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.04
Washington Nationals vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+104.4%+$11.75
Spread: Athletics (-1.5)backed Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.16
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.88
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. NC Dinosbacked NC Dinos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.35
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Lotte Giantsbacked Kia Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.17
Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.28
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.55
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+133.3%+$20
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.31
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+106.5%+$18.05
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+125.4%+$17.8
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$7.56
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.86
New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Showing 25 of 82 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT5064%32 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.86
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$4.15
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.87
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$3
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.55
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$4.13
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$5.9
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$5.85
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$3
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.25
Mexico vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$11.57
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$17.22
Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+65.7%+$9.92
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.4
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+151.3%+$24.08
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+46.2%+$15.8
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+101.3%+$12.58
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$3.4
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+87.1%+$11.63
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.38
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$7.97
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+52.2%+$8.57
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.23
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.15
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT3050%15 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Portland Fire: O/U 185.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Spread: Indiana Fever (-8.5)backed Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-6.5)backed Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.75
Las Vegas Aces vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 164.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$15.16
Minnesota Lynx vs. Seattle Stormbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$3.05
Washington Mystics vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.96
New York Liberty vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.98
Spread: New York Liberty (-3.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+122.9%+$17.58
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5)backed Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+97.2%+$17.25
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5)backed Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.05
Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Feverbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+31%+$5.68
Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5)backed Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.16
Spread: Indiana Fever (-8.5)backed Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.82
PortlandFire vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 162.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.28
Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Feverbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+133%+$13.7
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-12.5)backed Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.46
Spread: Washington Mystics (-1.5)backed Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.04
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-12.5)backed Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+89.6%+$9.45
PortlandFire vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 173.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$15.45
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5)backed Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Spread: Dallas Wings (-7.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+97.6%+$12.35
Indiana Fever vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+113.4%+$12.4
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-10.5)backed Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Golden State Valkyries vs. Toronto Tempobacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$8.05
Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-3.5)backed Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+98.7%+$9.93
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT2365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+21%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Palermo: Fiona Ferro vs Erika Andreevabacked Fiona Ferro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$8.3
Estoril Open: Nuno Borges vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+116.3%+$18.2
Swiss Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+32%+$5.33
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+84.5%+$31.6
ITF Astana: Gaeul Jang vs Kamonwan Yodpetchbacked Kamonwan Yodpetch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+197.2%+$27.24
ITF Brisbane: Belle Thompson vs Natsuki Yoshimotobacked Natsuki Yoshimoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.28
ITF Granby: Sara Saito vs Cadence Bracebacked Cadence Brace · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.63
Granby: Aleksandar Vukic vs Alexis Galarneaubacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.69
Croatia Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$9.78
Iasi Open: Panna Udvardy vs Paula Badosabacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$5.7
Swedish Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.5
ITF Brisbane: Matisse Bobichon vs Benjamin O'connellbacked Matisse Bobichon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.44
Granby: Nicolas Arseneault vs Andres Martinbacked Andres Martin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.15
Iasi Open: Nadia Podoroska vs Petra Marcinkobacked Petra Marcinko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$5.96
Athens Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Qinwen Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$7.8
Swiss Open: Kilian Feldbausch vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$4.59
Wimbledon ATP: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Alexander Bublikbacked Thanasi Kokkinakis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Wimbledon ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.21
Wimbledon WTA: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.2
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Ugo Humbertbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+265.5%+$36.32
Bad Homburg Open: Clara Tauson vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Geneva Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.7
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Shelton backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST1573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+49.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$47
Pistons vs. Mavericksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20.01
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20.52
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$17.71
Heat vs. Netsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+49.3%+$16.5
Bulls vs. Hornetsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+70.7%+$20.74
Spurs vs. Lakers: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+61.3%+$18.39
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+108.3%+$15.17
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+88.7%+$26.6
Hawks vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+455.6%+$49.2
Mavericks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+39.7%+$4.26
Bucks vs. Pelicansbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Grizzlies vs. Pistonsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$36.88
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$45.15
All 15 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick67cpaid+25.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-07-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Incheon United FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$3.7
Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.05
Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$9.5
Spread: Gangwon FC (-1.5)backed Jeju SK FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.45
FC Anyang vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$25.38
Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-07-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$4.4
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.9
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$3.5
Will Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$4.08
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$3.95
All 12 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atlas FC win on 2026-08-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+60.1%+$7.15
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.92
Will Atlas FC win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.75
Will CF América win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.34
Spread: CF América (-1.5)backed Querétaro FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$4.44
Querétaro FC vs. CF América: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+45.6%+$5.64
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-07-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.48
Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-1.5)backed Atlético San Luis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$5.52
Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-07-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.14
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-07-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+90.1%+$14.22
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+40.8%+$4.35
All 11 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.7
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-08-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+113.7%+$13.3
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+75.9%+$10.79
Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$4.95
Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5)backed Sporting Kansas City · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.1
Will CF Montréal win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$7.9
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.85
Will New York City FC win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.87
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-07-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.26
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 11, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick61cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$4.12
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$19.16
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$13.6
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+69.5%+$12.3
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+44.9%+$4.65
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$17.16
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$13.99
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+47.1%+$4.8
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$28.6
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-47.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Bluesbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Ducks vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$158.2
Kraken vs. Flames: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+100%+$50
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick65cpaid-54.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Falcons vs. Cardinalsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+72.4%+$18.48
Jets vs. Saints: O/U 40.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+104.1%+$27.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.