Asian League · resolved market
Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-07-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3e8b08a1536843b839df8d3b3d74d719d8ce3e7b8d7bd169dff9bf696953b1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,505
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,505 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb15…8393backed Yes | 32c | 7,813$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 32cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 68c | 4,676$3,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.27 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 20c | 3,173$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.87 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 2,657$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.04 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 70c | 2,382$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.64 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 31c | 1,860$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.34 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 16c | 1,513$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.1 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes | 28c | 1,368$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.19 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 28c | 1,286$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 68c | 1,104$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.28 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 916.93$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.85 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 77c | 723.09$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.75 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 29c | 699.99$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 68c | 565.98$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.11 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 25c | 492.08$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.95 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 77c | 407$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.61 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 22c | 405.26$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.23 | 74 | 9.5%7 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 76c | 377.63$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.07 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 68c | 367$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.44 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 68c | 367$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.44 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 68c | 367$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.44 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 77c | 360.07$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.84 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28cd…5609backed Yes | 30c | 357.8$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Yes | 27c | 355.11$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…f09ebacked Yes | 18c | 348.32$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 30c | 347.85$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.01 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 76c | 339.61$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.1 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 17c | 323$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 71c | 304.58$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.33 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 74c | 250$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed No | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…ff88backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf990…88bcbacked Yes | 28c | 199.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes | 11c | 189.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 29c | 179.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 12c | 176.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed No | 77c | 169.1$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 79c | 145$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 69c | 135.8$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Yes | 24c | 132$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Yes | 22c | 122.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 15c | 120.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 82 | 14.6%12 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Yes | 21c | 105$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5632…5fecbacked Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 15c | 99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 70c | 97$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.29 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 19c | 90.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70f5…82b5backed Yes | 25c | 80.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5a…9d75backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Yes | 27c | 64.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes | 22c | 60.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 72c | 56.25$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c36…c001backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe850…f826backed Yes | 22c | 51.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 75c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 72c | 43.03$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed No | 69c | 42.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…f69dbacked No | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…30a5backed No | 69c | 41.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Yes | 34c | 38.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f2…68f9backed Yes | 33c | 33.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c5…ed42backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x634c…fe8fbacked No | 69c | 20.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +15.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked No | 70c | 17.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 74c | 16.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed No | 76c | 15.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12c8…3cb0backed No | 74c | 15.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…4415backed No | 80c | 15.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b89…23fbbacked No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-07-12?this page
- Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-07-12?No won
- Will Jeju SK FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.