Asian League · resolved market
Will Jeju SK FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f59496e38b19deff120d5a4567086d0d28036f0da762203f460cd7535f8a677
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,125
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,075
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,125 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 69c | 1,103$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.86 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 52c | 934.64$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.51 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 31c | 863.35$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.59 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 59c | 757.68$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.93 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked No | 65c | 598$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.54 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +8.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a1…30d1backed No | 67c | 544.32$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.7 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 67c | 479$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.92 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 35c | 478$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.77 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 69c | 355.06$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.66 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 46c | 325$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.86 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 69c | 300$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…b127backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 33c | 253$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.51 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…ff88backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 71c | 182.07$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.27 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 31c | 174.63$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.98 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 57c | 170.47$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.17 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 33c | 158.4$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.41 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed Yes | 33c | 156.17$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.63 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 55c | 155$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.05 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6237backed Yes | 31c | 154.84$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.84 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 54c | 145$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Yes | 31c | 132.25$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.83 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…b1debacked No | 69c | 128.66$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 53c | 128.43$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.68 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes | 32c | 125.22$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Yes | 35c | 125$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf851…ef53backed Yes | 31c | 103.23$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.23 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 33c | 94.48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.3 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Yes | 32c | 89.62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.93 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 57c | 88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Yes | 55c | 85.51$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.66 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 56c | 80.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5323…326abacked Yes | 53c | 79.25$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 30c | 78.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.13 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8c…2799backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 71c | 68.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 52c | 65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…cdebbacked No | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 50c | 59.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked No | 57c | 57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 68c | 56.9$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f5…c385backed Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +155.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…2d27backed Yes | 58c | 55.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe850…f826backed Yes | 35c | 51.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 56c | 49.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 61c | 45.63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 58c | 45.21$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 53c | 44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…67e1backed Yes | 35c | 39.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +188.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 41c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db6…fa76backed Yes | 35c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb1…fa48backed Yes | 32c | 31.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…8883backed No | 66c | 28.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61ed…0f5dbacked No | 68c | 28.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Yes | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked No | 54c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes | 45c | 23.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8378…0090backed Yes | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Yes | 44c | 22.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed No | 57c | 22.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 69c | 16.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 326 | 54%176 W · 150 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jeju SK FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-07-12?No won
- Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-07-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.