TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1db6…fa76

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
110
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Mls at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2850%14 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF América win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Will Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlante FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.03
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-08-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$14.31
Will São Paulo FC vs. Club Bolívar end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.53
Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+80.3%+$20.93
Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Talleres end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.22
Will Atlas FC win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+233.1%+$34.19
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.42
Will Atlas FC vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.36
Will CS Cienciano win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+36%+$7.41
Will SE Palmeiras vs. Club Cerro Porteño end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+169.5%+$28.93
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.13
Will Club Cerro Porteño win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.7
Will SC Internacional vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+99.1%+$30.36
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.3
Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+72.6%+$62.69
Will Club Necaxa vs. CF Monterrey end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.16
Will Atlas FC win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.42
Will Club Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.46
Will Atlante FC vs. CF América end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+298.4%+$36.7
Will CF América win on 2026-07-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.97
Will CA Huracán win on 2026-07-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$28.04
Will CA Platense vs. CA Unión end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+74.3%+$11.94
Will CA Huracán vs. CA Banfield end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.18
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$8.24
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT2556%14 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$40.78
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+221.7%+$27.57
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.56
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+42%+$39.9
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.06
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.54
Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.68
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+271.2%+$92.79
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.94
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+65.5%+$40.76
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.16
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+554.5%+$72.86
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.48
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.34
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$20.09
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.35
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.9
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$16.53
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.89
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.75
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$5.41
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.3
Will Armenia vs. Moldova end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$7.9
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.08
All 25 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT2240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+74.3%+$14.92
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$15.9
Will Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.35
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-08-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.1
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-08-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$8.36
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-08-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.35
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-08-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+198.9%+$49.24
Will Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.18
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-08-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.85
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+310.6%+$84.72
Will Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.36
Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.68
Will FC Anyang win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$46.15
Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.59
Will Bucheon FC 1995 vs. FC Anyang end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.43
Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.47
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+36%+$12.44
Will Jeju SK FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$22.75
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-07-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 22 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 11, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. RU Saint-Gilloise end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT+331.9%+$53.79
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.45
Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-08-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+178.3%+$56.38
Will AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.4
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.63
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$8.58
Will Shamrock Rovers FC win on 2026-07-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$14.5
Will Sabah FK win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+110.8%+$20.5
Will Kuopion PS vs. Sabah FK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.17
Will KF Víkingur win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$38.83
Will KF Víkingur vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.64
Will ETO FC vs. KF Víkingur end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+113.1%+$19.11
Will ETO FC win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.54
Will SK Iberia 1999 win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.27
Will SK Iberia 1999 win on 2026-07-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$4.64
All 15 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+45.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+39.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesligalast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$19.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.