Asian League · resolved market
Will Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf781f924712af81366d73c7717d7e573e5d1613a3c4f76b501e8b41139c5e2bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,028
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,257
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,028 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 7c | 7,042$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.24 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41d2…d7c9backed Yes | 19c | 4,105$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,305.26 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 2,249$1,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,693.3 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 44c | 2,173$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.3 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 61c | 2,158$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.01 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b9…775dbacked Yes | 33c | 1,412$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.12 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2505…8e76backed Yes | 71c | 534.58$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked Yes | 54c | 507.83$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb6…9fe0backed Yes | 67c | 446.63$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 444.18$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.76 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 28c | 288.53$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.53 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3138…b523backed Yes | 28c | 202.74$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…4bbabacked Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Yes | 26c | 191.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.97 | 118 | 12.7%15 W · 103 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Yes | 50c | 190$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Yes | 30c | 163.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.97 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x545b…7e82backed Yes | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.21 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 28c | 117.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.86 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes | 42c | 109.75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.06 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3de…b025backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 64c | 87.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.14 | 118 | 61.9%73 W · 45 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb66a…b156backed No | 58c | 81.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -54%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…6600backed No | 53c | 66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd1…a282backed Yes | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f45…1726backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…a647backed Yes | 69c | 58.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…53d2backed Yes | 45c | 47.66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.42 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Yes | 53c | 45.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Yes | 48c | 43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +11.6wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 77c | 42.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db6…fa76backed Yes | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…0a9bbacked Yes | 46c | 34.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 47c | 30.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ba…046bbacked Yes | 51c | 27.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Yes | 60c | 26.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…5131backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ac…65a8backed Yes | 61c | 24.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-07-12?No won
- Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-07-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.