TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-07-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$185,559
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$215,704

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,559 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44c5…8d45backed No56c30,077$16,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,117.417753.1%94 W · 83 L+17.3wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No69c23,955$16,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,452.212,46740.3%993 W · 1,474 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed No60c9,875$5,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,949.745750.9%29 W · 28 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+151%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes40c8,152$3,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,270.151,02241.5%424 W · 598 L-33.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes41c8,059$3,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,279.7892235.1%324 W · 598 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed No56c7,845$4,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,433.938743.7%38 W · 49 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+52.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No64c6,830$4,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,467.455,91046.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L+50.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Yes54c5,556$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed No46c5,455$2,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,926.63644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes43c4,999$2,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,141.4224247.9%116 W · 126 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes41c4,165$1,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,726.0172044.2%318 W · 402 L-28.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes47c4,103$1,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,926.6426336.5%96 W · 167 L-13.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes5c4,000$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20524323%56 W · 187 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked No78c3,855$2,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.514143.9%18 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c5c…00f7backed Yes56c3,300$1,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,84840%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No52c3,020$1,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,461.881,70750.6%863 W · 844 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No48c2,154$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.4639549.9%197 W · 198 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes55c1,893$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.6822949.8%114 W · 115 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No48c1,771$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.3738749.6%192 W · 195 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bb6…4938backed No75c1,702$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.32666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0811…5d31backed No76c1,614$1,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.412100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+53.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes30c1,533$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.4634447.4%163 W · 181 L+1.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes38c1,368$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.626148.7%127 W · 134 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes41c1,200$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4865240.4%21 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Yes48c1,200$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5768655.8%48 W · 38 L+7.1wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes41c1,156$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.22,49942.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L+52.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48012250%61 W · 61 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes33c846.61$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.4610837%40 W · 68 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked No65c775.36$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.176547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8973…f760backed Yes18c719.23$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.463627.8%10 W · 26 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick21cpaid+249%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed06…72e7backed No45c649.99$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.49742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Yes31c625$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.867037.1%26 W · 44 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1bf…b8e1backed Yes33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-44%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No66c555.4$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.9737153.9%200 W · 171 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No45c478.81$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.441,43435.2%505 W · 929 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e1…b7d4backed Yes3c463.32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes45c451.33$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.551,05341.9%441 W · 612 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes40c448$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.7458243%250 W · 332 L-26.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b0c…a1aabacked No46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x219a…a647backed No77c391.36$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.362661.5%16 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked Yes57c366.58$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.952040%8 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-33.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Yes47c313.22$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.2412542.4%53 W · 72 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No54c295.72$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.031,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed Yes33c294.11$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.454522.2%10 W · 35 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-46.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3341…d7e4backed Yes46c290.37$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.524555.6%25 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes39c288$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.7621754.4%118 W · 99 L+10.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed No75c266.7$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.714165.9%27 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Yes48c240$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.214752.4%77 W · 70 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No49c238.62$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.0417058.2%99 W · 71 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003855.3%21 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x04c7…c7a7backed Yes47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd09…8974backed Yes8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked No47c189.99$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.1953946.9%253 W · 286 L-14.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3947…63a5backed Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-29.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7c31…5380backed Yes53c184$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.523641.7%15 W · 21 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-24.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Yes29c175.86$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518341%34 W · 49 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes27c168.81$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9524448.4%118 W · 126 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Yes16c166$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8637…9657backed No76c165$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.65100%5 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9ea…9c73backed Yes29c156.28$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.321136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes56c151.79$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8514047.1%66 W · 74 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No48c151.36$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.6935751%182 W · 175 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes51c151.17$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.946841.2%28 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Yes39c146.15$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5713051.5%67 W · 63 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2e8…c60ebacked Yes39c142.72$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.661163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No52c140$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.214446.5%67 W · 77 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb3e…b9c5backed Yes39c139.18$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.28966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+75.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes38c132$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5736142.4%153 W · 208 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec4…9196backed Yes51c131.9$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.42666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x03aa…0312backed No76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.58887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick65cpaid+33.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe839…0a9dbacked Yes39c130.92$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.06650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8558…8615backed Yes39c130.92$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.06862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+25.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4abd…5a5cbacked Yes39c128.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.141154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+21%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabfe…dba6backed Yes31c124.24$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393231.3%10 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe49f…1120backed Yes25c111.72$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.93771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes42c110.69$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4311861.9%73 W · 45 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc2b0…e756backed Yes18c109.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.65930.5%18 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes38c109.07$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1814440.3%58 W · 86 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes28c107.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.65728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-41.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1db6…fa76backed Yes40c107$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.682240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes53c102.42$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.324348.6%118 W · 125 L-1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f57…f8c5backed No47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534946.9%23 W · 26 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x919f…bfbebacked No74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes47c99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9384347.7%402 W · 441 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Yes50c97.72$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8614948.3%72 W · 77 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes32c93.28$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7456245.4%255 W · 307 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011141.4%46 W · 65 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes45c91.26$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8996846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8845…360ebacked Yes34c80$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.22138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-34.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed No57c80$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.47357.5%42 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade5…56b1backed Yes53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-26.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ce5…17f9backed Yes54c74.44$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e4b…0a04backed Yes29c73.45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.32661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec1e…0d9cbacked No66c72.74$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.831275%9 W · 3 L+4.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+1,035.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No44c72.47$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.581,21450.2%610 W · 604 L+12.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked No59c69.13$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.063658.3%21 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes37c67.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8509…fd97backed Yes48c63.19$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.593815.8%6 W · 32 L-5.7wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-47.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2217…b756backed Yes33c62.97$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.782445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+26.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Yes47c61.12$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7315352.9%81 W · 72 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.