TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3341…d7e4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
197
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT8431%26 W · 58 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 84 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$34.09
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$38.77
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$75
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Ghana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$100
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$582.35
Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed Bosnia and Herzegovina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$700
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Showing 25 of 84 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT4555.6%25 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Gwangju FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Urawa Red Diamonds vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Kashima Antlers vs. Nagoya Grampus end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Tōkyō Verdy vs. Kashiwa Reysol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. FC Seoul end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$135.19
Will Cerezo Ōsaka vs. Fagiano Okayama end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.52
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$278.29
Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-05-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$247.69
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+126.1%+$378.3
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+101.9%+$152.91
Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$176.09
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$122.58
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$187.63
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+57%+$128.29
Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+141.6%+$106.18
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+42%+$206.18
Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$61.92
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$122.1
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT3650%18 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$557Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$556.8
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$74.29
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$122.73
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$190.97
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$534Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+153.7%+$820.68
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$156.12
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$150
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$230.32
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$785Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$234.54
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$157.14
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$103.03
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$155.13
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$21.14
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$18.17
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT156.7%1 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick25cpaid-73.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kalmar FF vs. Hammarby IF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Aalesunds FK vs. Vålerenga Fotball end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+300%+$150
Will Degerfors IF vs. IFK Goteborg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will ADO Den Haag vs. FC Groningen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FC Utrecht vs. AZ end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Willem II Tilburg vs. NEC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Mjallby AIF vs. IK Sirius end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Telstar 1963 vs. Sparta Rotterdam end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Rosenborg BK vs. Viking FK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will IF Elfsborg vs. Vasteraas SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will AZ vs. ADO Den Haag end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Vitória SC vs. FC Arouca end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Mjallby AIF vs. IF Elfsborg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Orgryte IS vs. AIK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Vålerenga Fotball vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 15 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+148%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 11, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick23cpaid+173.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-45.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Platense vs. CD Coquimbo Unido end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$111.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$144.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.