TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$274,062
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$238,607

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $274,062 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8bd…b7aabacked No66c61,003$40,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,642.781136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick58cpaid-40.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb37…ba6bbacked Yes34c46,364$15,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,763.65540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes28c17,149$4,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,788.760732.5%197 W · 410 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No22c15,666$3,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,157.6114951%76 W · 73 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes32c12,500$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00017248.8%84 W · 88 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed No67c10,828$7,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,573.231952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes27c10,625$2,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,817.611,49738.6%578 W · 919 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8f7…b542backed Yes33c10,060$3,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,319.93333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f98…0aa1backed Yes72c8,148$5,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,880.59366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86f4…bd70backed Yes34c7,500$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,550933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes35c7,339$2,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,560.7120043%86 W · 114 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes45c6,553$2,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,919.94,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes5c5,693$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.5470%0 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No43c5,676$2,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,226.8256439.2%221 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Yes33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6506243.5%27 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64d1…9cdcbacked Yes33c4,805$1,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,585.65616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2128…da98backed Yes33c4,347$1,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,434.482853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No68c3,358$2,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.676145.9%28 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…09c7backed Yes63c3,239$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,040.4757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid+11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed Yes34c3,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick26cpaid+72.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No67c2,889$1,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.7811849.2%58 W · 60 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes67c2,865$1,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,918.3498833.4%330 W · 658 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed No67c2,850$1,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.082944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed Yes33c2,700$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8913135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No68c2,606$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.9869350.9%353 W · 340 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Yes33c2,447$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8111735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No67c2,343$1,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.0963757.1%364 W · 273 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No68c2,046$1,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.7575051.3%385 W · 365 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No68c2,000$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6401637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-40.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes24c1,964$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.25728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-63.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Yes32c1,788$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.35831%18 W · 40 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick39cpaid+1.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes20c1,571$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.492352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+46.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No67c1,502$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.649154.9%50 W · 41 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes29c1,386$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.4245841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fcf…e455backed No42c1,285$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.3650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes66c1,225$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.543,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ede…0a84backed Yes33c1,050$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.51323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-34.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked No68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3201546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Yes26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2606259.7%37 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7628…eb57backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked No69c999.97$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.9911723.1%27 W · 90 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes24c986.93$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.9658548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes54c932.15$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013051.5%67 W · 63 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes27c924$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.4841351.8%214 W · 199 L+17.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x54f0…7725backed Yes33c909.09$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002040%8 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No51c880.39$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.472853.6%15 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No65c869.84$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.391643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-31.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb42…0ad9backed Yes34c852.03$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.67785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick53cpaid+59.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaaf1…0db6backed Yes27c800$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-62.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Yes40c762.89$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.166879.4%54 W · 14 L+14.7wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+44%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xbe77…ef6cbacked Yes33c757.58$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed No21c749.62$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.23754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60b1…8e7dbacked No70c723.15$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.952138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes30c632.8$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.0739338.9%153 W · 240 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd75a…d264backed No77c602$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.441020%2 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-67.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes31c600$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18614244.4%63 W · 79 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked No69c563.85$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.222055%11 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes3c550.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2710943.1%47 W · 62 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes32c548.75$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.9719133%63 W · 128 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Yes57c548.21$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.484245.2%19 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes26c532.14$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.8468050.4%343 W · 337 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes26c529.21$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.191,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3761…203cbacked Yes6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30683.3%5 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.50per pick33cpaid+143.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes65c500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3252470.8%17 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb46…48efbacked No68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1601136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-40.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked No68c499.99$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1603237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes31c498$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.1892345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes32c489.09$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.4643439.6%172 W · 262 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…f368backed Yes8c467.72$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.42812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick27cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93f9…9ccbbacked Yes12c426.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7245…4b00backed No31c426.05$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.59742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick27cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked No56c419.69$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.2821831.7%69 W · 149 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No66c402$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.6883650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes34c400$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.326235.5%22 W · 40 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x250f…4fc6backed Yes11c400$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421450%7 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd08b…b74cbacked No68c400$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+77.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes75c376$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.5683640%334 W · 502 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No69c370$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.79956.6%56 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaae5…7974backed No27c368.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.04333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked No61c363.48$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.12445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+36.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09f4…5c6abacked Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x07c6…1c5bbacked Yes29c317.41$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes5c317.12$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6444324.2%107 W · 336 L-49.5wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-47.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x28ff…d56cbacked Yes33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003748.6%18 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Yes36c267.68$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.037642.1%32 W · 44 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a66…f00dbacked Yes33c264.79$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.38540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+41.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c2f…07d3backed No38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes35c247.84$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.6682844.8%371 W · 457 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Yes32c245.25$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.48714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick30cpaid-70.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde3d…6b1fbacked Yes28c244.89$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.573250%16 W · 16 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+5.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b97…0f17backed Yes33c238.49$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Yes27c238.1$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653638.9%14 W · 22 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77f1…9a0dbacked Yes33c234.55$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6f7…c7a2backed Yes31c225.81$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes53c219.84$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.8211154.1%60 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Yes53c213.77$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.2511251.8%58 W · 54 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Yes57c210$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.74812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick39cpaid-63.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Yes68c208.9$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.482142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Yes31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94bb…02ccbacked No68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-43.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.