La Liga · resolved market
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-08-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e85ebf42f91335846aeb1296f81e64292e62e8cff0152f5b602803ed7c3fb34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,130,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,156,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,130,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 428 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9319…6410backed Yes | 38c | 1,601,736$603,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998,371.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked No | 63c | 225,000$141,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141,000 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 63c | 199,800$124,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124,875 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 62c | 111,698$69,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,252.75 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked No | 63c | 100,000$63,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,000 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed No | 62c | 95,856$59,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,430.71 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c78…77f1backed No | 62c | 71,913$44,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,586.13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b9…79a2backed No | 62c | 69,000$42,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,780 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 62c | 64,004$40,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,000 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 62c | 60,000$37,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,200 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 58,768$42,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,417.99 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…f1f9backed No | 62c | 47,000$29,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,140 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed No | 62c | 46,170$28,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,628.1 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed No | 62c | 39,690$24,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,607.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 62c | 29,322$18,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,262.77 | 1,169 | 51.8%606 W · 563 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x381b…4d74backed No | 62c | 28,350$17,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,577 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 63c | 27,560$17,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,396.15 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 62c | 24,861$15,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,413.7 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 63c | 19,473$12,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,170.51 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 25c | 19,144$4,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,341.42 | 564 | 39.2%221 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 62c | 18,000$11,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,160 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed No | 63c | 16,344$10,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,296.91 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes | 69c | 15,846$10,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900.69 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 64c | 15,028$9,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,612.32 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b56…715ebacked No | 62c | 14,990$9,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,293.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 63c | 14,200$8,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,897.99 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…0841backed No | 63c | 13,500$8,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,505 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…c50abacked No | 62c | 13,500$8,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,369.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes | 57c | 12,296$6,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,310.48 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed No | 62c | 12,000$7,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,440 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 37c | 11,637$4,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,278.02 | 434 | 39.6%172 W · 262 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 62c | 11,391$7,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,062.44 | 137 | 44.5%61 W · 76 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…edbebacked No | 62c | 11,296$6,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,998.56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 62c | 11,234$6,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,996.82 | 174 | 47.1%82 W · 92 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 66c | 10,186$6,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,764.41 | 828 | 44.8%371 W · 457 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 14c | 10,000$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,630.79 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…7248backed Yes | 5c | 9,999$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,499.02 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 17c | 9,270$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,676.54 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 62c | 9,226$5,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,690.39 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed No | 63c | 9,180$5,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,783.4 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 75c | 9,099$6,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,859.53 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde27…d27cbacked No | 62c | 8,298$5,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,142.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…9c9abacked No | 62c | 8,100$5,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,012 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 62c | 7,773$4,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,833.91 | 637 | 57.1%364 W · 273 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 37c | 7,642$2,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,837.49 | 836 | 40%334 W · 502 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…6a68backed No | 62c | 7,411$4,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,594.76 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa160…442bbacked No | 63c | 7,020$4,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,422.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 62c | 6,979$4,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,326.76 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 58c | 6,805$3,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,952.55 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 64c | 6,420$4,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,102.09 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +17.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 63c | 5,819$3,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,665.97 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 55c | 5,689$3,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120.97 | 607 | 32.5%197 W · 410 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 62c | 5,532$3,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,426.52 | 693 | 50.9%353 W · 340 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed No | 6c | 5,513$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x332b…af19backed No | 62c | 5,406$3,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,351.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4097…9397backed No | 62c | 5,400$3,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,348 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Yes | 16c | 5,260$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,418.4 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 36c | 5,035$1,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,222.2 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 63c | 5,000$3,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,125 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed No | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…a351backed Yes | 18c | 5,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 63c | 4,967$3,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,107.93 | 750 | 51.3%385 W · 365 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked Yes | 15c | 4,868$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,133.22 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +63%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 64c | 4,617$2,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,653.53 | 125 | 53.6%67 W · 58 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8a…718dbacked No | 62c | 4,515$2,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,798.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked No | 4c | 4,068$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc41b…cc4bbacked No | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 53c | 3,868$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050.33 | 393 | 38.9%153 W · 240 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 12c | 3,861$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,397.94 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Yes | 69c | 3,806$2,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.71 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes | 57c | 3,806$2,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed No | 5c | 3,643$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.14 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 18cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 37c | 3,320$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,076.02 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…da98backed No | 63c | 3,141$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.83 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7349…cc3abacked Yes | 13c | 3,116$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,711.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 64c | 2,950$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…a2ebbacked No | 60c | 2,928$1,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,756.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 43c | 2,910$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.72 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 77c | 2,839$2,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,193.31 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa584…067ebacked No | 62c | 2,700$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 63c | 2,635$1,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,657.27 | 502 | 49.6%249 W · 253 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 64c | 2,376$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.21 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Yes | 13c | 2,364$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,056.48 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…f06cbacked Yes | 12c | 2,136$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +208.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked No | 60c | 2,115$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked No | 51c | 2,049$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked No | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked No | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa462…7b59backed Yes | 72c | 1,993$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 63c | 1,965$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.19 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes | 18c | 1,928$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.39 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Yes | 7c | 1,887$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,756.22 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 62c | 1,870$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.94 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed No | 69c | 1,768$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 63c | 1,694$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.95 | 201 | 59.2%119 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9828…0f7ebacked No | 63c | 1,650$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.6 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.32per pick | 43cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…107bbacked No | 63c | 1,650$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-08-15?this page
- Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-08-15?No won
- Will Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.