La Liga · resolved market
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-08-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fa8a03a32f8ee1a263fd9bcce82143a86df8af3eb45ee4bbf0599d019a47836
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $508,014
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $533,938
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $508,014 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 276 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3eb0…6a68backed Yes | 30c | 53,078$15,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,923.45 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae7f…6f49backed No | 62c | 49,000$30,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,519.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 30c | 33,405$10,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,021.49 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 59c | 25,080$14,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,251.07 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8a…718dbacked No | 44c | 20,539$9,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,504.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 71c | 20,056$14,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,856.29 | 196 | 32.7%64 W · 132 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 18,358$13,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,442.81 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Yes | 29c | 16,701$4,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,805.55 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde27…d27cbacked No | 70c | 16,420$11,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,926 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 15,004$10,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,501.2 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…da98backed No | 70c | 14,685$10,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,371.42 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 70c | 13,887$9,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,114.18 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7414…72a3backed No | 70c | 12,600$8,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,780 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…30aabacked No | 42c | 11,682$4,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,753.25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Yes | 57c | 11,000$6,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,230 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Yes | 60c | 10,800$6,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,438 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes | 43c | 8,487$3,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,638.22 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Yes | 50c | 8,000$3,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,989.94 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…bd70backed Yes | 53c | 7,500$3,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,974.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 70c | 6,135$4,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840.5 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 44c | 5,303$2,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,966.34 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 30c | 5,238$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.4 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed Yes | 47c | 5,013$2,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,377.99 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed No | 44c | 4,921$2,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,764.27 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x753d…2ce0backed No | 46c | 4,588$2,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,471.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 17c | 4,561$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.63 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes | 43c | 4,558$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982.6 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 30c | 4,383$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.82 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 4,368$2,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.16 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 70c | 4,200$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed Yes | 45c | 4,199$1,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,883 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed No | 52c | 4,169$2,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.23 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes | 55c | 4,051$2,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,232.27 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 30c | 3,583$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.83 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcf…e455backed Yes | 55c | 3,431$1,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 29c | 3,192$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.82 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed No | 52c | 2,986$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.5 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 38c | 2,935$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.46 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed01…83a8backed Yes | 54c | 2,913$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,585.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…c93abacked Yes | 42c | 2,369$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.89 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 57c | 2,326$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 125 | 53.6%67 W · 58 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 29c | 2,075$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.93 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 10c | 1,907$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.36 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked Yes | 53c | 1,891$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.21 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa462…7b59backed No | 63c | 1,848$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 50c | 1,770$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.05 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked Yes | 61c | 1,593$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.75 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Yes | 61c | 1,570$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Yes | 17c | 1,563$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.63 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Yes | 14c | 1,552$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 27c | 1,531$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.9 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…5ae7backed Yes | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c51…1fc1backed No | 57c | 1,424$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6055…5fdebacked No | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 43c | 1,339$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.28 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 29c | 1,265$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.86 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…98dcbacked No | 71c | 1,257$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.53 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,107$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.47 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked No | 70c | 1,107$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Yes | 41c | 1,094$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 70c | 1,071$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.3 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 2c | 1,055$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 30c | 1,015$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.45 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked No | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf1…0db6backed Yes | 29c | 999.97$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed Yes | 10c | 999.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Yes | 56c | 985.18$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.85 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 5c | 952$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Yes | 31c | 939.27$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.15 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7349…cc3abacked Yes | 56c | 914.43$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 30c | 891.23$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.4 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf505…4c26backed Yes | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa15e…b828backed Yes | 58c | 862.06$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…f598backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed Yes | 23c | 810.57$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.43 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Yes | 50c | 801.99$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcba…c950backed No | 54c | 795.16$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.77 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed No | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.23 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c78…c49fbacked Yes | 60c | 766.67$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 50c | 764.84$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.25 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed Yes | 50c | 759.5$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.1 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 28cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64d1…9cdcbacked Yes | 13c | 750$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 71c | 738.49$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.16 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed No | 43c | 723.74$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.62 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 17c | 713.85$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.42 | 402 | 39.1%157 W · 245 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked No | 42c | 707.51$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.53 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed No | 50c | 702.98$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 13c | 680$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…edbebacked No | 71c | 630$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.7 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed No | 71c | 617.6$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.08 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed No | 44c | 602.11$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.29 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 30c | 591$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.3 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7039…4a7dbacked No | 70c | 581.34$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd010…2ee6backed No | 39c | 544$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.84 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…1a0fbacked Yes | 14c | 513.87$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.09 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 70c | 512$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.6 | 124 | 60.5%75 W · 49 L | +12.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…86e1backed Yes | 19c | 505.78$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-08-15?this page
- Will Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?No won
- Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-08-15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.