TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6055…5fde

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Lol, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 53 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 36.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Cincinnati Open: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borgesbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Prague 2: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Radu Mihai Papoebacked Oriol Roca Batalla · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Sion: Kai Wehnelt vs Calvin Hemerybacked Calvin Hemery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$331.4
Cincinnati Open: Alexandra Eala vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Cancun: Lloyd Harris vs Abdullah Shelbayhbacked Lloyd Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$666.67
Cincinnati Open: Linda Noskova vs Clara Tausonbacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$184.93
Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$470.59
Cincinnati Open: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$214.29
Cincinnati Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$333.33
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobollibacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Quebec City: Alexander Donski vs Andrea Guerrieribacked Andrea Guerrieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$281.25
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Maria Sakkaribacked Maria Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Prague 2: Cezar Cretu vs Thomas Faurelbacked Thomas Faurel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$157.89
Cincinnati Open: Terence Atmane vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$298.7
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Karolina Pliskovabacked Karolina Pliskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Cincinnati Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$117.46
All 20 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$1,128.21
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.65
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$30.38
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$31
Will Everton FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$552.38
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$612.9
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$408.45
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$186.08
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,994Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$535.45
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$194.44
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Will Watford FC win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+93.3%+$233.33
All 17 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$61.65
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$391.03
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-08-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$265.82
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$184.93
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$32.31
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$175.68
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$408.45
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$240.2
Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$235.29
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$159.84
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$461.54
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$480.39
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
All 10 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-3.8wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2last resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-43.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lollast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+87.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$207.14
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$183.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Dream vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 181.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$293.65
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 174.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$146.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$492.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Islam Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$702.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DEN vs. ATL: O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.