TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group C

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
SPARTAof SPARTA, MOUZ NXT
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$181,732
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$193,833

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,732 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed SPARTA67c23,456$15,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,680.21,43139%558 W · 873 L-41.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbadb…31a7backed MOUZ NXT49c11,832$5,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,757.6713647.1%64 W · 72 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9279…4748backed MOUZ NXT70c6,695$4,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,682.1419358%112 W · 81 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed MOUZ NXT41c5,768$2,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,377.62,52743.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L+42.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91da…1bc1backed SPARTA54c4,738$2,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,184.752025%5 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-53.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed MOUZ NXT23c4,106$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.2757422.5%129 W · 445 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71d6…7248backed MOUZ NXT7c3,333$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.312810.7%3 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-74%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked SPARTA43c3,083$1,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,756.5232348.9%158 W · 165 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7460…de6ebacked MOUZ NXT55c3,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.9944551.2%228 W · 217 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed SPARTA60c2,689$1,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.321,04153.1%553 W · 488 L+63.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked SPARTA32c2,607$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,769.321,79059.2%1,060 W · 730 L+106.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed MOUZ NXT36c2,466$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.9810540%42 W · 63 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed MOUZ NXT35c2,250$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.51,42333.6%478 W · 945 L+41.8wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed SPARTA68c2,116$1,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.0417249.4%85 W · 87 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf84d…8830backed SPARTA61c2,064$1,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.386962.3%43 W · 26 L+7.5wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+19.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed SPARTA73c1,878$1,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.991,59429.7%473 W · 1,121 L-88.1wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked MOUZ NXT27c1,737$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.0953135%186 W · 345 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1602…fbb0backed MOUZ NXT24c1,688$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004946.9%23 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed MOUZ NXT19c1,598$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.832,66430.8%820 W · 1,844 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e64…89c3backed SPARTA35c1,528$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.364235.7%15 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-27.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b9c…a518backed SPARTA75c1,518$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.4617445.4%79 W · 95 L-8.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed MOUZ NXT37c1,502$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.192,36545.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L-58.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked SPARTA75c1,257$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.343,54429.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L-289.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked MOUZ NXT55c1,146$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.4635342.8%151 W · 202 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ab…3bb3backed MOUZ NXT16c1,063$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1704953.1%26 W · 23 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked SPARTA52c1,014$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.441,62944.8%730 W · 899 L+4.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe738…df65backed SPARTA75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25014950.3%75 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed MOUZ NXT30c999.99$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3025,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf957…bcb6backed MOUZ NXT17c999.99$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.85837.9%22 W · 36 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-40.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6421…045dbacked MOUZ NXT24c999.98$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.2917049.4%84 W · 86 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed MOUZ NXT46c991.01$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.074,09951%2,091 W · 2,008 L+74.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed MOUZ NXT25c970.66$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.671,65252.9%874 W · 778 L+60.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d24…cf3fbacked SPARTA72c944.41$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.381752.9%9 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick67cpaid-21.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed SPARTA64c902.04$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.532,64551.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L+21.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10d7…bbf6backed SPARTA79c874.46$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.4419468.6%133 W · 61 L+25.9wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+12.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked SPARTA45c844.21$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.327,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9767…b5c4backed MOUZ NXT22c803.55$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1759850%49 W · 49 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0e4…dd38backed SPARTA44c790.71$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.3643457.1%248 W · 186 L+20.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed SPARTA64c777.28$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.721,11054.2%602 W · 508 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed MOUZ NXT9c768.6$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.11,64946.9%774 W · 875 L-28.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a2c…3c32backed SPARTA66c754.18$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.1820161.7%124 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked MOUZ NXT45c685.54$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.4916343.6%71 W · 92 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc57…2b3cbacked MOUZ NXT24c627.32$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.8115658.3%91 W · 65 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked MOUZ NXT69c625.85$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.782,19543.1%946 W · 1,249 L-68.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6da…fb9abacked MOUZ NXT50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed SPARTA63c599.89$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.472,45644.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L-67.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed MOUZ NXT49c586.09$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.1249952.3%261 W · 238 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6055…5fdebacked MOUZ NXT49c508.91$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0b3…b220backed SPARTA78c495.2$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.53271.9%23 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ NXT31c474.13$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.026,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5592…aedebacked MOUZ NXT64c467.89$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30019857.1%113 W · 85 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbaa…a47fbacked MOUZ NXT27c444.44$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202035%7 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked MOUZ NXT49c417.37$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.851,39752.4%732 W · 665 L+30.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed SPARTA45c410.56$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.811,32544.1%584 W · 741 L+44.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ NXT19c410$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.92,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc34…0953backed SPARTA51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1968047.5%38 W · 42 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x455a…57bbbacked MOUZ NXT17c391.44$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.361662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed MOUZ NXT54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20032643.3%141 W · 185 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad08…c58bbacked SPARTA72c362.68$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.423450%17 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked SPARTA80c354.19$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.171942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed SPARTA40c343.87$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.2911538.3%44 W · 71 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed SPARTA67c308.79$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.7882142.5%349 W · 472 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7e0…8573backed MOUZ NXT35c306.31$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.217950.6%40 W · 39 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f4…106cbacked MOUZ NXT17c294.35$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.642548%12 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked SPARTA57c289.81$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.391,52351.5%785 W · 738 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed SPARTA46c288.35$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.8820653.9%111 W · 95 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed MOUZ NXT33c286.52$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5253055.5%294 W · 236 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33f1…7a59backed MOUZ NXT35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018543.2%80 W · 105 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked MOUZ NXT49c280$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.236240.3%146 W · 216 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f50…e12bbacked SPARTA66c262$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.084942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x074c…771cbacked SPARTA76c260.68$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.8116963.3%107 W · 62 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f8e…0c69backed MOUZ NXT38c259.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028637.8%108 W · 178 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked SPARTA74c252.09$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.5477052.7%406 W · 364 L+28.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked MOUZ NXT31c241.06$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.934,75443.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c6d…ab76backed SPARTA73c240$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.834750.1%174 W · 173 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked MOUZ NXT16c237$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1623847.9%114 W · 124 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed MOUZ NXT75c233$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.7645745.1%206 W · 251 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed MOUZ NXT41c222.79$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.1172645.6%331 W · 395 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed SPARTA42c222$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.895,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb56d…8041backed MOUZ NXT58c217.08$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.66580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+29.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed MOUZ NXT33c216.67$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2335841.6%149 W · 209 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked MOUZ NXT32c214.53$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.985,03437.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L-260.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed MOUZ NXT29c213.79$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6236239.2%142 W · 220 L+0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ NXT41c211.78$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.915,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1fe…e21fbacked SPARTA57c204.39$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.8912748.8%62 W · 65 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x83bd…3f07backed MOUZ NXT50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004528.9%13 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+36.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed SPARTA60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b27…0635backed SPARTA52c199.99$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9633050%165 W · 165 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed SPARTA49c199.99$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.9952150.3%262 W · 259 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bb…bd8ebacked SPARTA64c193.53$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.0420436.8%75 W · 129 L-15.7wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked MOUZ NXT25c193.32$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3318350.8%93 W · 90 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed MOUZ NXT22c191.44$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8438557.1%220 W · 165 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed SPARTA53c189.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.0638049.5%188 W · 192 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ NXT24c179.94$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.412,09241.6%871 W · 1,221 L-50.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2c50backed MOUZ NXT37c172.34$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9274239.1%290 W · 452 L-29.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed SPARTA52c170$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.3565946.6%307 W · 352 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x264a…55d4backed MOUZ NXT16c166.55$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.65333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d26…f4f8backed MOUZ NXT12c161.12$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199229.3%27 W · 65 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x997c…51f3backed SPARTA72c160$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7525553.3%136 W · 119 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c03…522dbacked MOUZ NXT23c156.67$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.711711.8%2 W · 15 L-5.1wins-0.30per pick42cpaid-78.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.