TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa6da…fb9a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 61 out of 100; worst Lol at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT3557.1%20 W · 15 L+6.0wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+49.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,836Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,836.12
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spread: France (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$1,062.5
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$600
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$866.67
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,343Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,343
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$886.79
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,384.62
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,343Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$2,191.21
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,415Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+95%+$2,293.33
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+400%+$800
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$718Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$1,675.33
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$715Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$517.76
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$369.23
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$1,138.46
Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advancebacked Ghana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Ghana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$256.76
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,715Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,715
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$864Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$864.49
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.19
Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs Noir Verse (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stagebacked Honvéd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$470.85
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group Cbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,920Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+78.7%+$1,512.02
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$398.03
Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.37
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,975Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,975.28
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Leo Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+116.1%+$580.34
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$720
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-46.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.1
LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$745Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$745
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup Playoffsbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,905Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,905.07
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$382.13
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$196.6
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.43
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$653Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$652.84
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$1,807.14
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,456Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+108.4%+$1,578.05
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,456Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,456.06
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$7,694Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,694.21
All 11 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.