TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,432,189
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,391,357

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,432,189 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 7,663 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x640d…9a4cbacked No46c10,753,492$4,951,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,951,388.031729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-44.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf32…3b90backed Yes55c3,350,000$1,842,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,507,499.981450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes51c1,212,230$613,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598,464.344,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No47c928,443$433,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433,917.372,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No48c757,371$362,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362,269.277152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes47c685,747$323,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361,952.2374752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes54c641,191$347,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293,563.168,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Yes53c600,000$318,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282,00033538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Yes53c565,000$299,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265,55022348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d5d…e218backed No46c549,995$252,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252,997.841241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50f0…5355backed No45c499,999$224,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224,999.433844.7%17 W · 21 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes51c442,257$223,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218,611.452,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Yes55c340,119$185,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154,506.0517452.3%91 W · 83 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85f0…3f67backed Yes55c315,000$172,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142,149.877346.6%34 W · 39 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c78…77f1backed Yes53c302,091$160,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141,982.776048.3%29 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9243…658ebacked No46c299,998$137,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137,998.8915249.3%75 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes53c289,710$152,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137,236.832,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x580d…eb6dbacked No48c249,999$119,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119,999.438063.8%51 W · 29 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x35e2…9dcbbacked Yes54c240,741$130,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110,740.749045.6%41 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe221…06f6backed Yes52c237,777$124,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113,755.198246.3%38 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes54c231,787$125,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106,675.392,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked No47c229,098$107,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107,491.9914139%55 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ee8…89debacked No44c213,006$93,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93,118.185942.4%25 W · 34 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Yes43c206,795$88,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118,484.9617840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes45c203,063$90,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112,685.7238734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Yes54c200,000$107,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92,8007949.4%39 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked No47c200,000$94,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93,999.997941.8%33 W · 46 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…dbbdbacked Yes54c192,977$104,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88,769.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Yes53c191,664$102,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89,126.7617447.1%82 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes53c188,679$100,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88,679.2518740.6%76 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No44c178,854$79,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79,566.5956541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf751…fec8backed Yes56c175,000$98,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77,0009747.4%46 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Yes56c153,302$85,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68,192.676524.6%16 W · 49 L+0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No46c151,157$69,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69,045.4316835.1%59 W · 109 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7ac…f764backed Yes53c150,943$80,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70,943.46543.1%28 W · 37 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb61b…8a06backed No45c149,998$67,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,499.325959.3%35 W · 24 L+6.9wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+21.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf98…6e0abacked Yes54c138,500$74,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,5251540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No45c137,844$61,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61,925.1729952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83ab…06dfbacked Yes56c133,225$74,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,619.051136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d06…7910backed Yes53c124,078$66,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,078.4414343.4%62 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa2…e80abacked Yes54c119,998$64,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,099.0213959.7%83 W · 56 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x208c…6b98backed Yes54c112,518$61,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,352.039846.9%46 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3496…8fc4backed Yes53c112,424$59,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,839.4217034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes56c111,624$62,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,545.841,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdac7…6d53backed Yes53c105,201$55,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,344.369131.9%29 W · 62 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x51ea…150fbacked Yes54c103,325$55,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,562.5319332.1%62 W · 131 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Yes34c100,000$34,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,00014843.2%64 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Yes53c99,923$52,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,963.8111647.4%55 W · 61 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd86e…45cebacked No46c98,823$45,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,458.488856.8%50 W · 38 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5f6…aba9backed Yes57c98,556$56,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,379.252626.9%7 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-51.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x28aa…28f5backed Yes52c98,500$51,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,280.174531.1%14 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes53c94,500$50,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,499.9829916.7%50 W · 249 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-53.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a6a…458ebacked Yes53c92,813$49,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,622.11625%4 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x568a…04d9backed Yes53c92,248$48,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,356.57250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed Yes69c92,176$63,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,867.034748.9%23 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82ba…afeabacked Yes54c91,704$49,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,734.9315337.3%57 W · 96 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes54c90,160$48,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,567.0779231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x457f…2a64backed Yes53c89,928$47,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,538.012755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No46c89,637$41,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,680.531,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked Yes55c89,600$48,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,76015456.5%87 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Yes55c89,500$48,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,71513543%58 W · 77 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7923…6c0bbacked Yes53c75,096$39,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,295.15147.1%24 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3ac…b964backed Yes55c75,000$41,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,7505749.1%28 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0867…466cbacked Yes55c72,078$40,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,077.961346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick35cpaid-22.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x928b…ccf4backed No44c71,019$31,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,288.332142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed No47c63,906$30,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,035.99247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4879…5547backed Yes54c61,158$33,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,132.66425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Yes55c60,385$33,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,341.2517852.2%93 W · 85 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No42c60,000$25,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,017.5927039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Yes52c59,996$31,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,598.0826447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2a0…7e90backed Yes58c59,673$34,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,788.458037.5%30 W · 50 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5016…1eebbacked Yes52c57,692$30,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,692.315650%28 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed No2c56,044$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.4829030.7%89 W · 201 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83b4…23febacked Yes53c55,820$29,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,235.45745.6%26 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9215…9c92backed Yes53c54,963$29,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,832.38837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02af…aaa9backed Yes53c53,085$28,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,949.9513448.5%65 W · 69 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked No47c50,000$23,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,5006627.3%18 W · 48 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2643…39aebacked Yes54c47,452$25,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,827.72864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes41c47,352$19,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,705.9436939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85e8…474abacked No47c44,960$21,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,131.197843.6%34 W · 44 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes42c44,746$18,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,901.563,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18f0…3d5ebacked No7c44,332$3,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,085.586622.7%15 W · 51 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes61c43,966$26,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,339.813,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0210…4debbacked Yes53c43,424$23,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,409.161747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No44c42,100$18,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,523.877642.1%32 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c1c…7980backed No43c42,025$18,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,003.626149.2%30 W · 31 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes40c41,899$16,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,206.771,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x169d…fb3dbacked No1c40,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400254%1 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid+33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56e2…4b88backed No66c40,000$26,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,299.932548%12 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b56…715ebacked No47c39,700$18,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,561.927740.3%31 W · 46 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x447d…5eeabacked No44c39,600$17,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,427.077447.3%35 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x471d…2fa7backed Yes55c38,644$21,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,389.643154.8%17 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x28d3…c27cbacked Yes52c38,462$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,461.542828.6%8 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick22cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xffe9…a70ebacked Yes33c38,154$12,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,563.483339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No47c38,047$17,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,876.0116244.4%72 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes53c37,736$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,735.8531644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa66c…cd67backed Yes54c37,037$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,037.0418047.8%86 W · 94 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0fd…a0a9backed No43c36,749$15,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,802.257156.3%40 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a1c…9867backed Yes54c36,479$19,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,780.417753.2%41 W · 36 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1350…0841backed No45c35,600$16,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,019.975244.2%23 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.