Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd510cba5f5ee6a45a3141d3d4a260b48e7d06bde072db95afe60c13b2f10d862

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 4, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $11,490,388
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $12,536,783

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,490,388 — the venue’s figure.

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Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,504 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x640d…9a4cbacked Yes	17c	4,265,167$717,328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$717,328.32	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-1.9wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes	16c	294,684$47,149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47,149.46	320	31.6%101 W · 219 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes	20c	222,221$43,666 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43,666.38	423	45.6%193 W · 230 L	+10.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes	6c	140,741$8,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,100	324	29.9%97 W · 227 L	+10.4wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf77e…b594backed Yes	0c	70,000$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	95	3.2%3 W · 92 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	1cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb225…3d54backed Yes	19c	65,000$12,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,049.95	95	25.3%24 W · 71 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No	76c	52,937$40,270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,667.47	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed3…b903backed Yes	0c	50,294$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+38.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ebd…38cfbacked Yes	20c	50,000$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+1.8wins	+0.18per pick	22cpaid	+157.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Yes	0c	48,537$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.06	71	26.8%19 W · 52 L	-5.1wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	6c	40,455$2,272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,272.46	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Yes	15c	37,098$5,472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,471.56	186	33.3%62 W · 124 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb868…f7dfbacked Yes	0c	35,278$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.11per pick	5cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc2b…96cebacked Yes	0c	30,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	23	4.3%1 W · 22 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	1cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7a…9e24backed Yes	23c	30,000$6,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,899.99	132	34.1%45 W · 87 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb715…c3bbbacked Yes	18c	27,778$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	44	25%11 W · 33 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…5e86backed No	76c	22,500$17,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,399.97	116	42.2%49 W · 67 L	+4.6wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+37.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31cb…a34bbacked Yes	18c	21,171$3,811 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,810.82	49	36.7%18 W · 31 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	+4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c40…80dfbacked No	76c	20,749$15,769 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,979.72	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes	0c	20,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	147	15.6%23 W · 124 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa6f…1dfebacked Yes	26c	19,231$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	86	48.8%42 W · 44 L	+10.1wins	+0.12per pick	37cpaid	+77.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x49d6…ea7bbacked Yes	21c	19,208$4,107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,107	92	25%23 W · 69 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92eb…9fcdbacked Yes	25c	18,683$4,667 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,667.2	197	38.1%75 W · 122 L	+8.8wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+57.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Yes	17c	18,583$3,159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,159.1	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes	16c	18,185$2,918 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,917.55	658	35%230 W · 428 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes	26c	17,373$4,517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,516.96	644	46.4%299 W · 345 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03cf…7260backed Yes	15c	15,998$2,392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,392.46	66	27.3%18 W · 48 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2fe…a599backed Yes	18c	15,038$2,753 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,752.93	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Yes	17c	14,841$2,471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,471.19	372	23.4%87 W · 285 L	-25.7wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed No	64c	14,337$9,176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,161.24	130	59.2%77 W · 53 L	+31.0wins	+0.24per pick	35cpaid	+118.1%equal weight	72+0.20 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No	78c	12,965$10,135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,829.81	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c58…a5a1backed Yes	24c	12,500$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-4.7wins	-0.19per pick	39cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x09b5…7e72backed Yes	19c	12,500$2,325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,325	75	49.3%37 W · 38 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes	16c	12,249$1,901 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,901.21	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No	78c	12,015$9,324 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,690.75	1,224	43.4%531 W · 693 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No	73c	12,011$8,768 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,242.85	425	41.6%177 W · 248 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xecfe…8abfbacked No	77c	12,000$9,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,759.98	10	60%6 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	69cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc6a…360cbacked Yes	1c	11,833$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5964…776bbacked Yes	17c	11,765$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	94	43.6%41 W · 53 L	+5.5wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec44…c92bbacked Yes	17c	11,765$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	85	21.2%18 W · 67 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc769…8316backed Yes	26c	11,538$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	77	51.9%40 W · 37 L	+7.1wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Yes	23c	11,196$2,526 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,526.31	494	41.5%205 W · 289 L	+27.7wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2da8…2a95backed Yes	1c	11,113$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.72	10	10%1 W · 9 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No	79c	11,016$8,751 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,264.58	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe03…f14fbacked Yes	18c	10,801$1,936 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,936.22	45	24.4%11 W · 34 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	21cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf094…5290backed Yes	0c	10,070$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.1	43	4.7%2 W · 41 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+136.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d08…eda0backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	88	35.2%31 W · 57 L	+8.6wins	+0.10per pick	25cpaid	+136.5%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4b3a…c81cbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…2468backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	42	42.9%18 W · 24 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42c7…6677backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x63e8…23ccbacked Yes	0c	10,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	-49.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	74	33.8%25 W · 49 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-40%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed No	77c	10,000$7,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,300	227	52.4%119 W · 108 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Yes	16c	9,459$1,541 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,540.88	825	37.1%306 W · 519 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d7d…5e72backed Yes	0c	9,145$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	58	10.3%6 W · 52 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-55.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8188…a6b5backed Yes	0c	9,100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-72.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes	6c	9,072$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504.17	206	33%68 W · 138 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d0b…c6afbacked Yes	29c	9,026$2,626 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,625.72	34	23.5%8 W · 26 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	21cpaid	+55%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Yes	17c	8,206$1,365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,365.43	245	33.5%82 W · 163 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Yes	24c	8,044$1,956 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,955.61	270	32.2%87 W · 183 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes	18c	8,030$1,460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,460	245	39.6%97 W · 148 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5915…db2bbacked Yes	20c	7,749$1,577 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,577.1	25	36%9 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x901f…74e9backed Yes	19c	7,716$1,466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,466.13	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked Yes	26c	7,296$1,897 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,896.98	312	32.4%101 W · 211 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes	23c	7,191$1,654 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,653.99	159	30.8%49 W · 110 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51d5…79ddbacked Yes	1c	7,100$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes	6c	6,853$437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$437.04	1,019	31.6%322 W · 697 L	-10.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes	4c	6,814$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	462	23.2%107 W · 355 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes	5c	6,574$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335.18	413	31%128 W · 285 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b36…0d4bbacked Yes	14c	6,308$898 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$897.94	736	26.5%195 W · 541 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf271…acf2backed Yes	16c	6,190$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	87	27.6%24 W · 63 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3566…ec5abacked Yes	6c	6,083$365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$365	19	0%0 W · 19 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Yes	16c	6,000$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked No	78c	5,800$4,524 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,276	53	50.9%27 W · 26 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-24%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Yes	11c	5,657$609 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$609.43	250	19.6%49 W · 201 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes	17c	5,634$933 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$932.55	420	43.1%181 W · 239 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c04…1844backed Yes	18c	5,556$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	144	25.7%37 W · 107 L	-7.1wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x99c9…4c22backed Yes	12c	5,492$669 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$668.67	160	32.5%52 W · 108 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38fe…a923backed No	78c	5,469$4,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,219.29	119	42.9%51 W · 68 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-17%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae7a…9d0ebacked Yes	18c	5,276$970 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$970.07	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes	18c	5,200$936 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$936	605	11.4%69 W · 536 L	-16.5wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-38%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd49…d059backed Yes	16c	5,131$821 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$821	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x261b…83b5backed Yes	19c	5,110$971 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$970.84	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf32f…ef80backed Yes	24c	5,052$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	116	41.4%48 W · 68 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc971…54bcbacked No	75c	5,049$3,792 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,257.28	81	56.8%46 W · 35 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4059…23dabacked Yes	6c	5,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	49	4.1%2 W · 47 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-60.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes	18c	5,000$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	78	42.3%33 W · 45 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc920…7914backed Yes	24c	5,000$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.10per pick	36cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed Yes	24c	5,000$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	123	43.1%53 W · 70 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53fb…f891backed Yes	27c	5,000$1,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,350	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee39…c0fbbacked Yes	24c	5,000$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	42	21.4%9 W · 33 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes	1c	5,000$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.5	80	3.8%3 W · 77 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	-75.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x797e…440bbacked Yes	18c	4,989$898 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$897.95	24	12.5%3 W · 21 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69e2…5969backed Yes	17c	4,934$835 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$835.19	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes	15c	4,818$743 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$743.31	333	37.8%126 W · 207 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x73a6…6520backed Yes	21c	4,762$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	70	35.7%25 W · 45 L	-4.3wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeebd…ba30backed Yes	15c	4,760$730 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$730.32	160	33.1%53 W · 107 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe462…1a2abacked Yes	19c	4,737$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	71	33.8%24 W · 47 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-12%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes	16c	4,581$753 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$752.75	341	22.3%76 W · 265 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes	13c	4,574$615 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$615.14	719	39.1%281 W · 438 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-33%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?this page
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?No won
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event