TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6b36…0d4b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
883
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Euroleague, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Euroleague at 53 out of 100; worst Weather at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT73626.5%195 W · 541 L-0.7wins0.00per pick27cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 736 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$4,330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,330.22
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10,705Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+83.1%+$8,891
Will Karol G perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.89
Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$132.77
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$30.62
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.98
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.45
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$830Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+163.7%+$1,359.61
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.85
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.1
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.98
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$374.14
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.63
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.33
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.15
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.93
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.43
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.81
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.34
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.45
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.42
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.28
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.84
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.79
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.04
Showing 25 of 736 picks, newest first.
Weatherlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT5044%22 W · 28 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Weather — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oregon reach D4 (Exceptional Drought) by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$5,335Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,334.56
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.02
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.97
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+56.6%+$16.94
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.97
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.31
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on July 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+84.8%+$16.79
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$11.17
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.31
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+34%+$10.19
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on July 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$7.81
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$8.81
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+32%+$9.58
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.95
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+50.3%+$10.05
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$24.74
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.97
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.82
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on July 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.98
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.77
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+91.5%+$90.49
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT3348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,290Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$379.42
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$851Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$851.29
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+243.6%+$481.92
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+271.3%+$704.98
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.07
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.85
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,188.08
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.93
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+84.5%+$336.68
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$985Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$345.52
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,948Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$1,068.19
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$256.43
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.8
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.93
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$50.1
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.6
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.42
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,132.78
1H Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.73
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.79
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.49
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.65
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.22
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-44.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.39
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.94
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.12
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.73
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.84
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 4-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$101.67
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 4-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.04
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.29
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$33.78
All 10 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-36.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Ian Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$329.98
UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Mackenzie Dern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.52
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Kamaru Usman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$425.36
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.58
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Justin Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,109Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$4,172.67
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Aiemann Zahabi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$488.56
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Derrick Lewis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$488.56
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Michael Chandler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$488.13
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Kyle Daukaus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$488.99
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Steve Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$491.3
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
F1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-26.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-56.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+59.1%+$49.65
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Poznan: Hynek Barton vs Kimmer Coppejansbacked Kimmer Coppejans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Qingdao Eagles vs. Guangdong Southern Tigersbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$44.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$32.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$7.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.