TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,129
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,181

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,129 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd218…b5c9backed No76c7,239$5,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,731.167944.3%35 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-25.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Yes24c4,256$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.331618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-54.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f9d…ab79backed Yes3c3,428$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-81%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ce9…0cf5backed Yes79c2,273$1,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,786.0211836.4%43 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed No71c2,271$1,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.0314458.3%84 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked No41c2,048$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.6410652.8%56 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Yes29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5803218.8%6 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No67c1,606$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5345662.5%35 W · 21 L+7.2wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x80a2…5aa3backed Yes34c1,494$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa04d…c34ebacked Yes3c1,202$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes36c1,098$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.0312523.2%29 W · 96 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x370a…d986backed Yes2c1,033$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf2…2ce6backed No63c1,030$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.1825%2 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+69.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ee…a587backed Yes37c903.61$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.799164.8%59 W · 32 L+13.8wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+33.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No61c812.64$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.593151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No77c680.15$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.797545.3%34 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5de…cabebacked Yes52c655.65$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.942240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6944…7275backed No63c634.05$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.38450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No59c619.72$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.7710837%40 W · 68 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dca…3c13backed Yes23c600.22$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1382040%8 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+52.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd29d…b038backed Yes23c519.4$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.2810020%20 W · 80 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Yes39c513.21$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x819f…f3e7backed Yes35c499.69$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.645635.7%20 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa313…eb44backed No70c484$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.611643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d94…9357backed Yes8c446.13$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No73c404.5$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.663271.9%23 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3255…c6c7backed Yes30c396.99$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.12528%7 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked No46c388.7$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.696100%6 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+114.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed No31c356.4$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.512661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+39.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa01b…bc1dbacked Yes30c350$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1052548%12 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cff…45acbacked Yes34c319$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.461850%9 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+58.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x00c8…0dabbacked Yes33c303.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+121.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ada…62f7backed Yes30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-45.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9372…3b1abacked No77c299.98$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693956.4%22 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0459…437fbacked Yes36c296.82$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.982528%7 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-50%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes23c295.08$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.646819.1%13 W · 55 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick12cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d87…e214backed Yes61c271.99$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No59c244.42$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.043256.3%18 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bbb…ad2ebacked No29c241.85$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.61770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+54.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8ef7…0a2dbacked No68c240.63$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No71c235.52$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.453467.6%23 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes32c225.06$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.2610128.7%29 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64a8…7719backed No71c216.14$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.681752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes31c214.57$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.525619.6%11 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-21.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed No71c212$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.431250%6 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+75.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x75e1…5b86backed Yes24c208.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked No66c202$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.684136.6%15 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x747c…443bbacked Yes36c201.97$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.612846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf008…81a6backed Yes61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid+39%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11a1…7afebacked No67c191.01$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.762227.3%6 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick27cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0336…4bb0backed No70c185.71$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.71560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bea…c4b2backed Yes59c185.52$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12ea…0f47backed Yes35c171.97$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8c1…16c0backed No71c169.35$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.41957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3844…7285backed Yes63c165.19$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.46523.1%15 W · 50 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9384…e025backed Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+90.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x35dd…6df8backed Yes33c151.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.96850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No65c150.69$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.749165.9%60 W · 31 L+10.1wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+13.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No26c140$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.14946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x748d…26e2backed No72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf295…0335backed No74c135.34$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.342433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8373…f0bcbacked No80c128$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+41.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No28c127.26$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.818138.3%31 W · 50 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x312c…ceecbacked Yes32c127.18$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.581250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No44c126.02$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.82475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+145%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c6d…d67bbacked Yes41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-41.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54b7…80b6backed Yes46c119.96$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3eb…376cbacked Yes56c119.35$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.252955.2%16 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No65c114.55$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0911266.1%74 W · 38 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x474e…b0fdbacked Yes43c113.45$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.18911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick39cpaid-73.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes51c110$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.67233.3%24 W · 48 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x090a…0fa6backed No59c109.77$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.631338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-42.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0992…9f46backed Yes30c100.07$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.22425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-31.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x108d…508abacked No72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4582…8fa2backed Yes68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6860%0 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc9ef…eb67backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No69c92.4$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.62642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bc0…47e5backed No67c90.04$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.043545.7%16 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick35cpaid-6.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No75c87.83$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9620843.3%90 W · 118 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No36c83.61$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.796050%30 W · 30 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No64c76.06$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.267950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c09…4073backed Yes65c74$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.13633.3%12 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+191.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fdb…b04fbacked No69c72.61$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d0a…bd58backed No67c70.29$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbada…d874backed No21c66.52$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.55450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+64%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0633…355abacked Yes30c63.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13d0…cafabacked Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x64e8…0f74backed Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes35c62$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.781926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-48.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed No49c61.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.621866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Yes66c60.42$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.88728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-43.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6592…291ebacked No63c60.33$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x898d…261dbacked No47c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+59.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b36…0d4bbacked Yes53c59.96$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.64728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1e2…1f9abacked Yes24c59.34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2424720.6%51 W · 196 L-0.5wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeec4…057fbacked Yes35c57.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x249a…f923backed Yes38c51.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-57.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes29c48.09$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.838651.2%44 W · 42 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a6…1507backed No69c47.23$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.74852.1%25 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e61…1678backed Yes60c45.87$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.