F1 · resolved market
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90fe88f7681e4559daf5ff7dbabbb6b6a5e0ed6d33e55c6ee53f07a3de4c76ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,530
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,250
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,530 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Yes | 19c | 4,328$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.98 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…f3e7backed No | 72c | 1,482$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.81 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0459…437fbacked Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0be4…b548backed Yes | 20c | 640.93$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.14 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa995…3d50backed Yes | 32c | 630.77$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.94 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd29d…b038backed Yes | 23c | 622.3$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.87 | 100 | 20%20 W · 80 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 74c | 602.92$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.65 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 30c | 600$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.05 | 125 | 23.2%29 W · 96 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 13c | 560.37$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.84 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 72c | 518.6$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.6 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf008…81a6backed Yes | 19c | 499.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes | 17c | 452.16$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 68 | 19.1%13 W · 55 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dca…3c13backed Yes | 19c | 437.11$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 76c | 396.29$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.58 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 74c | 370.34$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.27 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 20c | 360.32$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.66 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 80c | 325.38$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 78c | 290.31$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.87 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…8d12backed Yes | 28c | 285$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 38cpaid | +185.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 74c | 235.51$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.13 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x291c…f1a9backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 26c | 216.14$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.34 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a7…2133backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…1f9abacked Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 247 | 20.6%51 W · 196 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 77c | 196$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.74 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…0cf5backed Yes | 21c | 192.36$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 73c | 190.41$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.98 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 79c | 186$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.93 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd723…25bfbacked Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…eb44backed Yes | 31c | 163.41$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 78c | 157.37$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.37 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35dd…6df8backed Yes | 30c | 153.9$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3844…7285backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…5b86backed Yes | 20c | 152.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 21c | 83.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe3…1f2abacked No | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0032…3cc0backed Yes | 25c | 72.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f1d…cc01backed No | 73c | 69.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x729d…248ebacked Yes | 29c | 68.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 24c | 65.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe357…50cfbacked Yes | 27c | 56.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked Yes | 26c | 54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 65c | 51.29$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 74c | 47.23$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 79c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +145%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 77c | 17.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 79c | 15.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.28 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?this page
- Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.