TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd723…25bf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
145
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Valorant, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT5248.1%25 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,490Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$676.76
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+115.9%+$173.91
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$507Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+156.6%+$793.34
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,445Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$677.8
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,144.99
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group Dbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,295Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$793.95
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs K27 (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group Abacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$504.76
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.29
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$75
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$436Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+68.2%+$297.33
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$235
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$942Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$942.16
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,660Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,660
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$170.67
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$85.06
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT3935.9%14 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-24.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$117.46
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$272.02
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.4
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+99.1%+$198.14
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)backed ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$436Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$193.5
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,668Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$1,037.83
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$60
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifierbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: LNG Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.2
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,460Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$540
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$106.67
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$999Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$351
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$147
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid+47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will m0NESY attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.75
Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$2,067.57
France vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 Korea Republic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$195.56
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 DR Congo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$412.21
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,700Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+53.5%+$910.29
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+1,512.9%+$181.55
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.3
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$51.43
All 17 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.86
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$85.9
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+103.9%+$20.78
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+113.9%+$53.25
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.99
Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$116.47
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
All 10 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+36.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: All Gamers vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$59.63
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Nova Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+141%+$192.51
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+134.9%+$175.33
Valorant: All Gamers vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$528.2
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.2
All 7 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-37.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+24.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.34
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,150
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,700Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+165.6%+$2,815.53
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$143.68
All 4 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+174.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-36.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$163.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,700Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$636.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,799.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.