MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3b07246d6bc7dcd36981aebf123150560f7815079f5398068f29f9c64e37529
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Redsof Pittsburgh Pirates, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $895,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $901,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $895,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 424 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d6d…2654backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 78,426$44,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,351.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 71,608$37,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,236.35 | 272 | 53.7%146 W · 126 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5291…d4b6backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 64,893$34,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,191.44 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 45,000$21,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,400 | 883 | 49.3%435 W · 448 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 35,625$18,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,721.56 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 31,080$16,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,174.9 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe54…41d6backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 26,621$13,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,777.97 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 25,645$12,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,591.68 | 771 | 53.8%415 W · 356 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 22,219$12,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,057.76 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 20,220$9,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,376.25 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d78…29a5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 17,426$7,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,144.76 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 17,113$8,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,898.76 | 736 | 50.7%373 W · 363 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 16,111$7,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,138.83 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 12,500$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,500 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cincinnati Reds | 68c | 11,752$8,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,749.23 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…c372backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 11,428$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,599.87 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 11,321$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Cincinnati Reds | 64c | 10,363$6,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,694.9 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.95 | 1,078 | 48.1%518 W · 560 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cincinnati Reds | 68c | 9,832$6,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,182.07 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 9,452$4,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,779.65 | 620 | 43.1%267 W · 353 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 8,985$5,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,637.72 | 820 | 42.6%349 W · 471 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 31c | 8,755$2,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,670.87 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 8,645$4,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,235.92 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477e…f63ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 7,596$3,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,949.68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc638…43b4backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 7,595$3,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,965.29 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 7,532$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,991.87 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 6,944$3,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,836.75 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 75c | 6,587$4,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,676.62 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 134 | 38.8%52 W · 82 L | -12.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 5,880$2,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,288.3 | 970 | 44.9%436 W · 534 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cincinnati Reds | 63c | 5,638$3,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060.7 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 24c | 5,529$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.29 | 884 | 46.3%409 W · 475 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 5,343$2,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,778.12 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 5,107$2,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,524.99 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 32c | 5,000$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.83 | 127 | 33.9%43 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 4,728$2,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,553.12 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 3,500$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 3,357$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855.92 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 3,281$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,723.01 | 198 | 54%107 W · 91 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 3,249$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.16 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 2,872$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.07 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 2,800$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabd0…fe12backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 2,740$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 2,701$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 2,433$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.19 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 2,340$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.79 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea97…5ac0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 2,301$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.64 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e13…af03backed Cincinnati Reds | 25c | 2,212$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,661.53 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.59per pick | 27cpaid | +229.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3233…a4ddbacked Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 2,169$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.38 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 69c | 2,105$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.36 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0103…5ca8backed Cincinnati Reds | 70c | 2,025$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 122 | 64.8%79 W · 43 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 1,963$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.17 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 1,900$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007 | 278 | 51.8%144 W · 134 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…9565backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 1,848$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.83 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 1,713$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.73 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 1,698$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 161 | 46.6%75 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 1,501$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.45 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 1,430$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.66 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 1,360$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.45 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 1,293$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.11 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0210…4debbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 1,228$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd052…563dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 1,228$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 1,214$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.11 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc279…6465backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 1,203$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.41 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 1,174$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.8 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 1,140$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.8 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 30c | 1,128$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.79 | 274 | 46.7%128 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2542…7821backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 1,074$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde1e…7ac6backed Cincinnati Reds | 24c | 1,042$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.66 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.43per pick | 24cpaid | +187%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7528…6539backed Cincinnati Reds | 24c | 1,042$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.66 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.46per pick | 26cpaid | +216.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…0c87backed Cincinnati Reds | 24c | 1,042$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad2…ec06backed Cincinnati Reds | 24c | 1,042$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.66 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.48per pick | 24cpaid | +244.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 1,023$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.14 | 778 | 52.2%406 W · 372 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 1,007$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.49 | 926 | 45.9%425 W · 501 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 29c | 999.99$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 987.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 952.36$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.02 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 76c | 936$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 919.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.49 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 899.34$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.51 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…12dfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 840.91$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.77 | 869 | 48.4%421 W · 448 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…0fdfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.33 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d7…488cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.33 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 28cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90ea…ec86backed Cincinnati Reds | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 25cpaid | +218.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e54…b186backed Cincinnati Reds | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.33 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.29per pick | 26cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 30c | 811.71$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.6 | 251 | 53%133 W · 118 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 66c | 743$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.12 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 723.41$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.11 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 719.38$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.08 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa49e…e5e8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 707.55$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsthis page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Under won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati RedsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.