TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xea97…5ac0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
79
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Mls, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-34.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.69
KBO: KT Wiz vs. NC Dinosbacked KT Wiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.45
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$321.54
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.68
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$633Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$539.27
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.91
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)backed San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$421Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$207.5
Boston Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,230.5
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,219.64
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padresbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.32
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$44.88
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$553Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$552.6
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Astana: Sergey Fomin vs Masamichi Imamurabacked Sergey Fomin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$197.87
National Bank Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Katerina Siniakovabacked Katerina Siniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$506Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$505.6
Los Cabos Open: Cameron Norrie vs Bernard Tomicbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$812Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$418.08
Los Cabos Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Dalibor Svrcinabacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$207.18
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Roger Pascual vs Colton Smithbacked Colton Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$407Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$406.68
Bunschoten: Jan Kumstat vs Florian Broskabacked Jan Kumstat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$358.01
Croatia Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$136.57
Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$618Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$304.48
Granby: Aleksandar Vukic vs Liam Broadybacked Liam Broady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$605Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$604.87
Swedish Open, Qualification: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Lautaro Midonbacked Lautaro Midon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$323.81
All 10 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+48.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Mls — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-49.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commoditieslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-44.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Feverbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$976Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$976.01
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 181.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$838Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+85.5%+$716.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weatherlast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Series Sri Lanka vs Pakistan, Women: Sri Lanka vs Pakistanbacked Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$559Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$559.46
Major League Cricket: San Francisco Unicorns vs Los Angeles Knight Ridersbacked San Francisco Unicorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$450.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,028Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$603.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aarhus GF vs. Sabah FK: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.