MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9aede26e053f76d2f03d1683c89d37651cd05fa9f0e58da871f0e17cb0b6bd02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Dodgersof Los Angeles Dodgers, Philadelphia Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,171,482
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,389,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,171,482 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 590 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 500,000$238,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261,946.35 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 358,881$195,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163,303.91 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 300,000$158,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157,999.83 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69c5…1e01backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 279,947$135,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144,052.71 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 127,297$54,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,754.13 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 90,000$41,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,599.83 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 72,980$39,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,409.35 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 60,000$31,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,799.96 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 42,325$18,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,841.61 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 39,715$20,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,254.78 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 32c | 31,841$10,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,090.03 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd67…ef90backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 29,611$15,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,990 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 27,695$13,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,963.28 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 25,738$9,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,522.96 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 25,000$16,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,974.99 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,600 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 18,710$9,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,510.17 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c72…7e7ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 18,270$9,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,136.8 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 17,959$8,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,518.27 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 17,550$8,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,950.5 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 17,545$8,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,772.31 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 15,788$7,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,367.64 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 14,464$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,499.97 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 13,246$6,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,817.72 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 11,162$5,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,690.71 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 10,797$4,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,870.73 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 10,584$4,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,217.4 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 10,389$4,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,130.18 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…34a5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 10,056$4,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,128.42 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…89aabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Philadelphia Phillies | 16c | 9,902$1,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,604.16 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 9,563$4,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,877.3 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 9,416$4,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,959.03 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 7,827$3,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,474.47 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 7,500$3,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,825 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57fa…dda8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 7,305$3,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,725.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 7,172$3,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,729.51 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 7,000$4,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,239.99 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 6,640$4,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,316 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 6,224$3,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,536.16 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 6,125$3,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,123.75 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 6,112$3,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,117.42 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…5b80backed Philadelphia Phillies | 33c | 5,544$1,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,852.58 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 5,367$3,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,381.43 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0993…525fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 35c | 5,252$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,838.28 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 4,792$2,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,387.45 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 4,771$2,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,452.1 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 58c | 4,750$2,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,986.1 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 4,041$1,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.87 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 4,039$1,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,118.01 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…d01fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 3,465$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c5c…151ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 3,314$1,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,756.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 3,186$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.89 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…15d8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 3,084$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8707…8b15backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 3,064$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.68 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.22 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Philadelphia Phillies | 25c | 3,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb34b…454bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 2,722$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 2,612$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.06 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 2,591$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.17 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 2,585$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.65 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 2,526$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.3 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 2,250$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.5 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8af2…dca8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 37c | 2,229$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.51 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 69c | 2,121$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.56 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 2,100$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.94 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…a2ebbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 2,000$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.72 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 1,980$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.8 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Philadelphia Phillies | 24c | 1,963$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.4 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…8792backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 1,926$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.16 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc67f…2372backed Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 1,873$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 1,784$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.2 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 1,702$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.13 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 1,702$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.13 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 1,668$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.59 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Philadelphia Phillies | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 1,433$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.52 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 1,348$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.16 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb426…05cabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 74c | 1,321$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 1,304$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.48 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Philadelphia Phillies | 51c | 1,293$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.75 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 31c | 1,281$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.59 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 1,250$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 1,183$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.31 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 1,117$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.34 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea97…5ac0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 1,105$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.6 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa577…91e3backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89cf…5f47backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f6…75c7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 1,060$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 56c | 1,030$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.67 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 1,019$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 1,015$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.1 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Philliesthis page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia PhilliesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.