TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2dd7…89aa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
121
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 59 out of 100; worst Lol at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT4951%25 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,577Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,576.99
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Houston Astrosbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,115Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,115
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$2,700
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangersbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,600Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$2,400
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$191.38
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$691Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+132.9%+$918.75
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,528Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+118.3%+$2,989.69
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$359Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$638.94
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,880Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,880.48
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,145Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,399.74
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$2,699.99
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,528Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,528.12
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,250
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$746Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$745.95
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,735Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,734.99
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$513Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$512.81
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,350Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,649.7
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,750
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangersbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,238Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,237.83
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astrosbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,129Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$3,888.98
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,760Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,760
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$192.08
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$943Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$942.81
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,150
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,424Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+150.2%+$2,139.98
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3568.6%24 W · 11 L+5.0wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10,375Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+67.8%+$7,030.92
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$61.04
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,112Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+78.7%+$3,238.05
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$4,129Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$1,308.55
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,027Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,027.01
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,872Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$2,527.99
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,280Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$2,720
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$5,120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$2,880
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$5,400
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,484Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$636.09
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$617Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$159.36
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$6,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$3,800
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,450
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,875Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$4,125
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,274.99
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$3,340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,339.94
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,537Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+127.8%+$4,518.44
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$5,648Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$3,498.67
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$4,950Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,950
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$131.22
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,607Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,606.55
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,353Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+91.9%+$1,243.48
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,292Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,291.99
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,700Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$5,300
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,099.94
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+90.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Cabos Open: Cameron Norrie vs Bernard Tomicbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,820Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$1,477.49
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Alex Hernandez vs Alan Magadanbacked Alex Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,064Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$2,044.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Floriana FC win on 2026-07-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$343.42
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.