Fifa International · resolved market
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb81d9a63be774f9c3db1b96af4d0e869128643a29c6eb922c0d8a20137880120
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,706,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,798,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,706,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,740 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9468…5d4bbacked No | 15c | 1,623,065$243,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379,978.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +122.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 55c | 1,329,666$735,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594,387.87 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 31c | 1,157,762$364,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364,300.48 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee8…89debacked No | 21c | 993,212$209,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783,656.39 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…e3bcbacked No | 14c | 876,550$122,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753,833.43 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 27c | 535,739$143,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392,184.97 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 78c | 466,463$365,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365,239.54 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 65c | 425,889$278,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278,188.16 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24aa…7e0abacked Yes | 0c | 400,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked No | 13c | 376,381$48,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327,451.69 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbba…dbffbacked No | 14c | 364,990$50,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314,291.79 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x095f…90b2backed No | 39c | 346,724$136,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209,938.1 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked No | 14c | 329,900$46,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283,713.6 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 35c | 230,307$81,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149,019.39 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes | 50c | 224,887$112,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112,199.7 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d36…45c6backed Yes | 0c | 210,116$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked No | 15c | 205,192$30,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174,202.84 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 16c | 203,649$33,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,595.46 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c78…77f1backed No | 14c | 199,997$28,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171,997.45 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…3e3bbacked Yes | 0c | 199,942$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…9703backed Yes | 0c | 190,019$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 25c | 188,053$47,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,667.62 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ea…fabfbacked Yes | 0c | 186,400$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…8b1dbacked Yes | 1c | 177,013$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.75 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a0…7e90backed No | 11c | 161,598$17,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144,226.68 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes | 60c | 158,887$94,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94,754.41 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Yes | 65c | 157,050$102,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102,007.9 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 14c | 141,452$19,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121,495.58 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec44…c92bbacked No | 14c | 119,005$16,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102,344.61 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef0…76dbbacked Yes | 0c | 117,207$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.47 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89a7…bb87backed Yes | 0c | 114,000$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf13d…fdf4backed Yes | 8c | 111,430$9,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,100 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…6f91backed Yes | 0c | 110,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…f4e5backed Yes | 0c | 106,000$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0a…34edbacked Yes | 0c | 105,000$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb623…c250backed Yes | 0c | 103,471$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…63d2backed Yes | 1c | 100,581$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 45c | 100,356$45,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,487.28 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59a9…41d1backed Yes | 0c | 100,230$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1e…bab3backed No | 14c | 100,000$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,000 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddbf…8039backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ff…d744backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fab…232fbacked No | 14c | 99,999$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,999.47 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa056…0e3dbacked Yes | 0c | 96,150$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x382b…e3f6backed Yes | 0c | 91,035$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…53dfbacked Yes | 1c | 90,161$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.95 | 454 | 24.7%112 W · 342 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 69c | 87,663$60,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,777.27 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a0…fcd0backed Yes | 0c | 86,950$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 29c | 86,398$24,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,727.16 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 26c | 84,639$22,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,281.6 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb376…a463backed No | 14c | 83,677$11,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,260.99 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked No | 57c | 79,648$45,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,557.58 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd471…edf8backed No | 20c | 79,638$15,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,689.87 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yes | 60c | 78,102$46,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,638.65 | 244 | 41.8%102 W · 142 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 39c | 72,904$28,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,516.34 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 48c | 71,972$34,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,616.03 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed No | 13c | 71,107$9,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,585.05 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 14c | 68,793$9,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,261.23 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Yes | 0c | 68,750$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.75 | 263 | 20.5%54 W · 209 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked No | 9c | 62,813$5,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,041.32 | 235 | 40.4%95 W · 140 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4e…e9bcbacked Yes | 0c | 60,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -73%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 50c | 60,000$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,999.98 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ff…32ebbacked No | 80c | 59,390$47,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,066.61 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Yes | 58c | 57,058$33,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,328.6 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Yes | 47c | 53,725$25,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,510.07 | 245 | 33.5%82 W · 163 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33c…68bcbacked Yes | 0c | 51,750$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 48c | 51,470$24,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,734.84 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…474abacked No | 14c | 50,318$7,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,273.65 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 41c | 50,191$20,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,468.79 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe834…72a4backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd744…526fbacked Yes | 75c | 50,000$37,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,749.98 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed No | 14c | 50,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,999.67 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…ab23backed Yes | 0c | 48,850$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 15c | 48,176$7,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,966.58 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 34c | 46,537$15,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,742.64 | 1,019 | 31.6%322 W · 697 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbce…2ee0backed Yes | 0c | 46,040$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 14c | 44,959$6,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,802.93 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5da9…0feabacked Yes | 4c | 44,428$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.58 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8c…fd7bbacked Yes | 52c | 44,337$22,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,916.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc29e…a2cabacked No | 48c | 40,940$19,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,289.03 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f2…2523backed Yes | 31c | 40,647$12,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,599.98 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…656fbacked Yes | 0c | 40,109$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked Yes | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked No | 13c | 39,794$5,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,502.98 | 341 | 22.3%76 W · 265 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 15c | 36,085$5,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,580.61 | 425 | 41.6%177 W · 248 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bea…a35fbacked Yes | 0c | 36,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 13c | 35,600$4,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,971.94 | 168 | 35.1%59 W · 109 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7d…6c77backed Yes | 0c | 35,008$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f71…db87backed Yes | 0c | 34,792$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e8…3ac5backed Yes | 0c | 34,490$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…5e86backed No | 15c | 34,320$5,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,171.94 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff10…eeffbacked Yes | 0c | 32,789$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.11 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a60…785cbacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae5…b634backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb11e…25bebacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed No | 15c | 30,000$4,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,559.99 | 484 | 41.9%203 W · 281 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed No | 15c | 30,000$4,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,559.67 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked No | 15c | 29,711$4,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,313.79 | 471 | 44.8%211 W · 260 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes | 72c | 28,612$20,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,645.3 | 366 | 34.4%126 W · 240 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6046…87f8backed No | 14c | 28,287$3,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,326.46 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?this page
- Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.