Fifa International · resolved market
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x044863f506fcca9771a47de547fe03e00f5bc2a7070e93158499092a6843a0d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,768,825
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,169,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,768,825 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,804 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 2,320,793$28,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,987.97 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 1c | 356,022$3,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,553.5 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…3645backed Yes | 0c | 300,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec80…2cd7backed Yes | 0c | 289,600$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076b…57afbacked Yes | 4c | 259,197$9,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,590.29 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19e9…aae5backed Yes | 0c | 201,884$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 1c | 195,782$2,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,384.05 | 127 | 9.4%12 W · 115 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…4fd2backed Yes | 2c | 169,535$4,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,088.89 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 1c | 169,265$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.31 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…ea94backed Yes | 4c | 132,981$5,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,818.76 | 137 | 25.5%35 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 4c | 126,378$4,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,914.6 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf77e…b594backed Yes | 0c | 123,746$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.71 | 95 | 3.2%3 W · 92 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…8fb6backed Yes | 4c | 121,671$4,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,814.22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89a7…bb87backed Yes | 0c | 114,000$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 3c | 112,490$3,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,925.51 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9e…8279backed Yes | 0c | 111,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733f…574fbacked Yes | 0c | 95,527$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x318b…4c15backed Yes | 0c | 82,214$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…1a2abacked Yes | 2c | 80,444$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.18 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x819b…d996backed Yes | 2c | 79,378$1,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891.59 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 4c | 71,674$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…d985backed Yes | 4c | 71,429$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…6e52backed Yes | 0c | 68,429$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 22cpaid | +144.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4433…9d34backed Yes | 1c | 60,450$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.48 | 788 | 35.3%278 W · 510 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Yes | 4c | 54,796$2,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,184.5 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Yes | 1c | 51,088$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 263 | 20.5%54 W · 209 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…43d3backed Yes | 0c | 50,513$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…870ebacked Yes | 4c | 50,438$1,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980.61 | 82 | 28%23 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x400c…7a75backed Yes | 6c | 50,259$2,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,926.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe834…72a4backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2215…9adabacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf432…7e30backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…8a16backed Yes | 0c | 46,839$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d4…f843backed Yes | 4c | 45,769$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 4c | 44,274$1,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,781.35 | 727 | 22.7%165 W · 562 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0d…bec9backed Yes | 4c | 44,131$1,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,835.29 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31c6…6657backed Yes | 0c | 41,144$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked Yes | 4c | 40,657$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.42 | 122 | 6.6%8 W · 114 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d6…6725backed Yes | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc27e…dc33backed Yes | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb713…e322backed Yes | 0c | 37,424$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ea…150fbacked Yes | 3c | 37,210$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.86 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…64c9backed Yes | 4c | 36,293$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.18 | 232 | 24.1%56 W · 176 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Yes | 3c | 35,563$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.12 | 176 | 42%74 W · 102 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 4c | 35,193$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.42 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked Yes | 0c | 35,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a01…024abacked Yes | 0c | 34,244$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fa…1a63backed Yes | 3c | 33,321$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.38 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b36…0d4bbacked Yes | 3c | 32,972$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.97 | 736 | 26.5%195 W · 541 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…0e59backed Yes | 3c | 32,800$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.84 | 57 | 17.5%10 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Yes | 6c | 32,776$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b84…7815backed Yes | 4c | 31,653$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.39 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f0…1759backed Yes | 0c | 30,350$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Yes | 1c | 30,000$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a60…785cbacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c9…ba07backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…3f67backed Yes | 3c | 28,455$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.56 | 116 | 16.4%19 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8daf…d674backed Yes | 0c | 28,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 4c | 27,467$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.67 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c0…f555backed Yes | 2c | 27,430$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.44 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abd…855dbacked Yes | 4c | 26,102$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.25 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30cf…cf8ebacked Yes | 4c | 25,641$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf85…e889backed Yes | 0c | 25,238$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33c…68bcbacked Yes | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…1692backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe993…ccf1backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…ab23backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Yes | 3c | 23,996$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.62 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a4…68debacked Yes | 1c | 23,981$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bea…a35fbacked Yes | 0c | 23,114$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04c…86f2backed Yes | 5c | 23,000$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.1 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca0a…3f20backed Yes | 4c | 22,335$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a7…84a8backed Yes | 5c | 21,517$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…e409backed Yes | 3c | 21,436$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.66 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ed…4833backed Yes | 4c | 21,053$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…c81cbacked Yes | 0c | 21,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5669…8783backed Yes | 0c | 21,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5905…a1a8backed Yes | 0c | 20,477$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad9…0ed5backed Yes | 0c | 20,107$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes | 4c | 20,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…dc89backed Yes | 4c | 20,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 89 | 13.5%12 W · 77 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb643…2c52backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec5…5087backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…1ec4backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa7…2b03backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…7afabacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d0…1a68backed Yes | 1c | 20,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0d…9bbdbacked Yes | 3c | 19,528$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.39 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6592…6584backed Yes | 0c | 19,056$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a2…98cdbacked Yes | 3c | 18,393$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 4c | 17,832$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.79 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972c…a72fbacked Yes | 2c | 17,353$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Yes | 3c | 17,046$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.51 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x293f…26a1backed Yes | 2c | 16,704$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.93 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5184…1363backed Yes | 4c | 16,348$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed Yes | 4c | 16,251$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.66 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 5cpaid | +141.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…3433backed Yes | 0c | 16,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6801…b0ddbacked Yes | 3c | 15,907$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6a…360cbacked Yes | 2c | 15,557$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf58…1deabacked Yes | 3c | 15,426$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.9 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?this page
- Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.