TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x076b…57af

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Mls at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3545.7%16 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$886Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$885.74
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$42,463Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$42,463.32
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18,781Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+182.9%+$34,357.48
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46,986Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$55,163.55
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22,708Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+149.4%+$33,921.68
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$9,472Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,472.17
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17,012Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,011.6
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$7,812Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,811.87
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$7,268Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,268.21
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$7,315Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$2,705.4
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500.45
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$6,826Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,826.32
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20,083Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20,082.66
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$4,113Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$1,935.64
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,776Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+226.1%+$6,275.16
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$5,145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,145.43
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.15
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,169.95
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$5,180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,179.99
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$1,371.57
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$9,590Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,590.29
Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advancebacked Austria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$3,127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,127.3
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$7,597Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$3,102.96
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$4,828Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$1,524.74
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick12cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16,521Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,521.04
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+688.4%+$114.97
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.5
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,087Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,087.36
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$275.49
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$2,744Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,743.9
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$821Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$820.78
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.77
All 8 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-53.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.28
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,286Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,286.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie Alast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,731Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,951.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,550Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$2,450
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Ian Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11,368Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,368.35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.