South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-08-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8559da3b228717b919ea6c45dd7e1013b1c3365955fa51413211f3db8fe370b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $268,334
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $281,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $268,334 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 29c | 79,830$23,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,134.91 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 19,062$14,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,938.98 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 72c | 18,929$13,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,316.6 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 71c | 17,197$12,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,987.05 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed No | 72c | 13,500$9,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,829.01 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed Yes | 31c | 12,527$3,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,888 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 9,863$7,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,690.36 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Yes | 48c | 7,382$3,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,550.73 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +112%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Yes | 30c | 5,294$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked No | 69c | 4,200$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.9 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +5.2wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 70c | 4,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 43c | 3,672$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,090.44 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Yes | 4c | 3,378$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.69 | 92 | 7.6%7 W · 85 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3ddcbacked No | 23c | 3,173$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,454.28 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…5449backed Yes | 5c | 2,702$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 75c | 2,390$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786.76 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes | 73c | 2,310$1,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,685.59 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 70c | 2,000$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 27c | 1,982$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.92 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 50c | 1,851$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.64 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked Yes | 10c | 1,809$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.14 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a8…ec90backed Yes | 30c | 1,737$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Yes | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 29c | 1,653$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.22 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 1,635$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.07 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed No | 80c | 1,631$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.11 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 78c | 1,606$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.05 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cda…1397backed Yes | 67c | 1,604$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 31c | 1,525$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.22 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked No | 53c | 1,500$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.68 | 64 | 12.5%8 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -70%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf851…ef53backed Yes | 32c | 1,371$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7349…cc3abacked Yes | 69c | 1,363$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.97 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,272$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 17c | 1,249$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.58 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 29c | 1,006$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.81 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…920dbacked No | 56c | 1,002$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.47 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 40c | 922.4$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 72c | 917.16$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.18 | 103 | 64.1%66 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 30c | 913.79$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.86 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed No | 68c | 791.46$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.27 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed Yes | 28c | 783.2$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.3 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 78c | 769.23$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.23 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 75c | 768.85$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.8 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…4b00backed No | 45c | 730.62$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.58 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 70c | 677.16$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 28c | 669$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.32 | 310 | 39.7%123 W · 187 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed Yes | 36c | 668.34$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.01 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 74c | 630$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.37 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 15c | 623.35$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.35 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Yes | 39c | 605.59$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.51 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 29c | 600$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x674b…8284backed No | 70c | 588.57$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.57 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked No | 34c | 588.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.23 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed No | 74c | 586.48$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.93 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 71c | 563.8$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.5 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed Yes | 66c | 561.86$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.1 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 70c | 554.99$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 27c | 549.45$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 209 | 34%71 W · 138 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb66a…b156backed Yes | 19c | 487.29$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.45 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 74c | 486.74$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.32 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 74c | 481.53$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.87 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 79c | 474.16$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.59 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 456.13$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.84 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked No | 31c | 451.26$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.52 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 30c | 443.45$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 46c | 414.2$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.49 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed No | 29c | 371.12$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.94 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 71c | 352.64$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.27 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x273b…62d4backed Yes | 30c | 322.41$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed Yes | 70c | 319.82$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.95 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 34c | 293.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.48 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed Yes | 76c | 292.99$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.44 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbae1…d8abbacked Yes | 30c | 286.67$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 28c | 285.7$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed No | 72c | 284.86$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.06 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 29c | 280.84$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.84 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…8b4cbacked No | 71c | 277.82$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.22 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 43c | 277$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.79 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 73c | 270.72$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.05 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd876…4c8bbacked Yes | 37c | 270$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…144bbacked Yes | 29c | 265.52$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 29c | 263$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.27 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 77c | 257.36$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.1 | 206 | 65%134 W · 72 L | +24.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba1…6aefbacked No | 22c | 256.41$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed Yes | 28c | 248.51$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.58 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce0c…d839backed Yes | 28c | 247.84$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.21 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 76c | 243$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.85 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d39…6bf1backed Yes | 30c | 240.2$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Yes | 29c | 234.86$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.01 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 27c | 227.52$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.34 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 28c | 214.28$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 71c | 214.23$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.97 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked No | 73c | 205.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 129 | 33.3%43 W · 86 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdea…c050backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Yes | 72c | 198.13$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.65 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 73c | 197.47$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.11 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 77c | 190$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 69c | 181$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.11 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-08-18?this page
- Will CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-08-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.