TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcdea…c050

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
200
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 57 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT6346%29 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+103.4%+$51.72
Will CA Platense win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-08-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$82
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-08-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-05-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$490.57
Will CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-05-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$11.87
Will CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$91.11
Will CA Platense win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Fluminense FC vs. Club Bolívar end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Huracán: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Huracán end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$184.67
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will CA Huracán win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+53.7%+$10.74
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.29
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2347.8%11 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+2.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$46.92
Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$66.28
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$16.15
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+300%+$90
United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$32.63
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT2365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick65cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.01
Clippers vs. Spursbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Mavericks vs. Netsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Jazz vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Pelicans vs. Hornetsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$18.8
Pelicans vs. Magicbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Bucks vs. Lakersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+29.9%+$3.67
Clippers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$6.74
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Magic vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+43.1%+$8.61
Lakers vs. Jazzbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Heat vs. Netsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Bullsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Celtics vs. Timberwolvesbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 23 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$233.33
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$89.65
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.08
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.2
Chelsea FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+48.8%+$8.11
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+37%+$7.4
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Islanders vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$16.34
Jets vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Jets vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Sabres vs. Devilsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Flyers vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Devils vs. Utahbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+87%+$17.41
Jets vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Hurricanes vs. Panthersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Canucks vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Flyers vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Hurricanes vs. Predatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Avalanche vs. Krakenbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Flames vs. Sharksbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 13 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.77
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Claude 4.7 released by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$28.45
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+33.5%+$16.73
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+58.7%+$29.37
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+84.4%+$33.76
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Taylor Swift be the #2 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick56cpaid+56.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+67.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+85.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.57
San Diego Padres vs. Boston Red Soxbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+60.8%+$11.89
Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 4 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick64cpaid-62.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.19
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.85
Holy Cross Crusaders vs. Loyola Maryland Greyhoundsbacked Holy Cross Crusaders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Queens (NC) Royals vs. Bellarmine Knightsbacked Queens (NC) Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 4 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $345 before 2026??backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+67.6%+$13.53
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $290 before 2026??backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+62.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+92.3%+$19.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Gen.G Global Academy vs DRX Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Seasonbacked Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF vs. Austin FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$22.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation increase by between 24% and 26.9% in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draperbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Playoffsbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Series Australia vs. India, Women: Australia vs Indiabacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.