NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Wizards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x830abaf0256b97a96cac8cd3ac823addaf254ef395f96d885bddeb5c10f26410
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Magic, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,978,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,358,370
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,978,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,049 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x060e…2384backed Wizards | 30c | 191,857$57,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134,001.91 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Wizards | 28c | 102,352$28,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,717.23 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Magic | 72c | 84,943$61,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,159.28 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Magic | 72c | 75,891$54,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,668.64 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Magic | 72c | 69,930$50,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,339.26 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Magic | 70c | 57,478$39,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,950.98 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Magic | 71c | 52,305$37,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,113.33 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Magic | 70c | 49,510$34,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,834.1 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6c…6305backed Wizards | 29c | 43,573$12,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,036.49 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Wizards | 29c | 40,000$11,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,400 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Magic | 37c | 39,430$14,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,730.41 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Magic | 0c | 34,927$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.84 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Magic | 71c | 33,637$23,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,771.44 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Magic | 72c | 33,251$23,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,909.08 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Magic | 65c | 32,608$21,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,297.01 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Wizards | 29c | 32,000$9,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,719.99 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Wizards | 66c | 30,445$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,444.73 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Magic | 20c | 30,118$5,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,923.35 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Wizards | 29c | 30,000$8,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,300 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5798…ab44backed Wizards | 28c | 30,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,599.99 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Magic | 72c | 24,447$17,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,600.84 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Magic | 71c | 22,914$16,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,269.24 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Wizards | 28c | 17,500$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,600 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Wizards | 29c | 17,200$4,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,212 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaba…51debacked Magic | 41c | 17,129$6,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,991.76 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Magic | 28c | 15,616$4,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,326.68 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Magic | 18c | 15,390$2,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,761.74 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Magic | 61c | 15,350$9,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,298.5 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a65…15b1backed Magic | 70c | 15,000$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,500 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Magic | 71c | 15,000$10,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,650 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Magic | 71c | 12,339$8,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,760.83 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1062…ba59backed Wizards | 28c | 11,000$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,919.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Wizards | 28c | 10,714$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,714.29 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Wizards | 61c | 10,485$6,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,062.61 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Magic | 0c | 10,355$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Wizards | 29c | 10,345$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,344.83 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +6.2wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Magic | 71c | 9,859$7,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000.6 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Wizards | 29c | 9,833$2,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,981.45 | 284 | 39.8%113 W · 171 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Magic | 7c | 9,818$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.95 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Magic | 70c | 9,258$6,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,501.51 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 71c | 9,239$6,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,586.87 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1286…b60cbacked Magic | 17c | 8,306$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Magic | 71c | 8,235$5,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,874.99 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards | 47c | 7,926$3,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,237.9 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Wizards | 61c | 7,476$4,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,920.99 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Magic | 14c | 7,131$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Magic | 67c | 7,000$4,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,685 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Wizards | 65c | 6,893$4,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,420.79 | 397 | 44.3%176 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd990…4866backed Magic | 72c | 6,788$4,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,887.05 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeff7…4bb3backed Magic | 64c | 6,632$4,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,229.15 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Magic | 72c | 6,390$4,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600.8 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Wizards | 28c | 6,251$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500.96 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Wizards | 78c | 6,106$4,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.96 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Magic | 59c | 6,077$3,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,585.7 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Magic | 0c | 6,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Wizards | 29c | 6,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,289.96 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Wizards | 73c | 5,505$4,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.75 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…eb26backed Wizards | 28c | 5,100$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,671.91 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 29c | 5,050$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,585.47 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Magic | 71c | 5,000$3,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,550 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Magic | 33c | 4,793$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,572.57 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Magic | 72c | 4,785$3,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,445.2 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc526…bf92backed Magic | 7c | 4,669$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.83 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +25%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2159…114fbacked Magic | 71c | 4,560$3,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,237.48 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 59cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0540backed Magic | 71c | 4,538$3,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,221.72 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Magic | 71c | 4,353$3,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,090.65 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x169c…ced1backed Magic | 72c | 4,300$3,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,096 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Wizards | 27c | 4,238$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,096.17 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Magic | 71c | 4,000$2,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,840 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Magic | 72c | 4,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Wizards | 27c | 4,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,920 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…3d34backed Magic | 6c | 3,865$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Magic | 55c | 3,714$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028.77 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Magic | 73c | 3,618$2,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,641.14 | 236 | 30.1%71 W · 165 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Wizards | 59c | 3,468$2,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.93 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Magic | 21c | 3,446$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.94 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Wizards | 27c | 3,400$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,486.16 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ca…679bbacked Magic | 30c | 3,367$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3736…b973backed Magic | 72c | 3,300$2,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,376 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 53cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…f7aabacked Wizards | 28c | 3,223$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320.62 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Magic | 70c | 3,200$2,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,232 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Wizards | 29c | 3,172$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,253.83 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Magic | 71c | 3,074$2,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,182.67 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…53a1backed Wizards | 39c | 3,047$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.69 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11ee…62a4backed Magic | 26c | 3,035$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.49 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Magic | 27c | 3,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Wizards | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Magic | 72c | 3,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.99 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Magic | 23c | 2,923$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.17 | 342 | 27.2%93 W · 249 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed Magic | 73c | 2,877$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Magic | 71c | 2,835$2,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006.68 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Magic | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66c9…2e68backed Wizards | 76c | 2,634$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.94 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Magic | 6c | 2,616$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.21 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Wizards | 33c | 2,615$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.88 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked Magic | 72c | 2,608$1,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,878 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5463…3e46backed Magic | 72c | 2,600$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7737…e2eebacked Magic | 19c | 2,566$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Magic | 5c | 2,544$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 216 | 5.6%12 W · 204 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Wizards | 33c | 2,532$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.69 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Wizardsthis page
- 1H Spread: Magic (-3.5)Wizards won
- 1H Spread: Magic (-4.5)Wizards won
- Magic vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineWizards won
- Magic vs. Wizards: O/U 233.5Under won
- Magic vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5Under won
- Magic vs. Wizards: O/U 235.5Under won
- Spread: Magic (-6.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Magic (-7.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Magic (-8.5)Wizards won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.