TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeff7…4bb3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NFL, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 51 out of 100; worst NBA at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST2733.3%9 W · 18 L-4.8wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-51.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Kingsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
Timberwolves vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,095Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$1,095.28
Jazz vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$3,000
Bucks vs. Nuggetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
Mavericks vs. Bullsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$3,490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$3,490
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Magic vs. Wizardsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$4,229Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$4,229.15
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
Spurs vs. Pacersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,001Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+68.6%+$2,745.15
Cavaliers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$7,988Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$7,987.97
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+53.8%+$350
Hawks vs. Wizardsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,096Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$2,096
Jazz vs. Warriorsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,445Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$1,445
Pistons vs. Pacersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+25%+$300
Kings vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10,237Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10,237
Trail Blazers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,065Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$1,064.99
Nuggets vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$925Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$925
Nuggets vs. Pelicansbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+29.3%+$585.64
Warriors vs. Heatbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+47.1%+$235.29
Pistons vs. Hawksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$7,671Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+28.1%+$2,152.04
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,007Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$2,006.8
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+37.9%+$189.69
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$6,606Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$6,605.77
Will Chad vs. Mozambique end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+35.1%+$35.14
Will Poland win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+30.1%+$301.2
Will Croatia win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$7,873Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+112.3%+$8,842.5
Will Montenegro vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,584Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$2,584.06
Will Germany win on 2025-11-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will England win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+40.8%+$204.23
Will Belarus win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Switzerland win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+25.3%+$633.35
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-62.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,907Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,907
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+58.1%+$581.1
Spread: Fulham (-1.5)backed Sunderland AFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+28.2%+$57.2
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,321Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$1,321.37
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$1,299.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lions vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+42.9%+$107.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+25%+$250
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Islanders vs. Avalanchebacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$250
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$3,986Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$3,985.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas State vs. Southern Missbacked Southern Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.