College Football · resolved market
Texas State vs. Southern Miss
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61128a17dcc76c7afa1fb58daccc3f456a4a9e9c5aeb359b140160a9ddc56746
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Stateof Texas State, Southern Miss
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,316,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,254,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,316,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 588 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Southern Miss | 61c | 1,968,428$1,199,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199,960.14 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Texas State | 39c | 683,000$265,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417,459.83 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d9…5ee1backed Texas State | 39c | 512,821$200,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312,820.81 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +44%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Texas State | 40c | 321,800$128,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193,555.8 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Texas State | 39c | 200,000$78,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121,500 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Texas State | 39c | 130,000$50,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,299.91 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Texas State | 40c | 120,320$48,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,839.2 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Texas State | 39c | 111,974$43,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,004.01 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Texas State | 39c | 85,939$33,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,365.22 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +58%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Southern Miss | 60c | 81,948$49,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,568.75 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Texas State | 40c | 72,374$28,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,700.51 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Texas State | 39c | 68,537$26,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,881.33 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Texas State | 40c | 61,910$24,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,146 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Texas State | 42c | 61,613$25,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,994.87 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Texas State | 41c | 52,619$21,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,222.68 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Southern Miss | 61c | 41,067$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4cd0backed Southern Miss | 61c | 38,756$23,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,641.1 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Texas State | 40c | 34,974$14,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,918.15 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Southern Miss | 60c | 31,915$19,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,148.94 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Southern Miss | 62c | 31,236$19,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,303.09 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62d9…a3e9backed Southern Miss | 60c | 28,775$17,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,264.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Texas State | 40c | 28,475$11,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,169.41 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Texas State | 40c | 26,245$10,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,746.88 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Texas State | 41c | 25,000$10,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,750 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Southern Miss | 12c | 23,983$2,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,877.66 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e77…4505backed Southern Miss | 61c | 19,684$12,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,007.21 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a3…33dbbacked Southern Miss | 60c | 17,856$10,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,713.6 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…f116backed Texas State | 49c | 15,190$7,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,780 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Texas State | 40c | 15,035$5,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,085.08 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Texas State | 41c | 14,643$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,642.86 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Texas State | 39c | 14,183$5,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,651.84 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Texas State | 40c | 12,930$5,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,757.99 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Southern Miss | 60c | 12,607$7,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,564.37 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Texas State | 39c | 12,187$4,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,434.17 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2746…f918backed Southern Miss | 60c | 10,834$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Texas State | 40c | 10,223$4,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,135.97 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b19…30aebacked Texas State | 40c | 10,050$4,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,030 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad0…a24ebacked Texas State | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Texas State | 39c | 10,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,099.98 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Southern Miss | 0c | 9,908$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Texas State | 46c | 9,119$4,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,938.68 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Southern Miss | 35c | 8,701$3,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,081.38 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x554e…1cddbacked Southern Miss | 60c | 8,420$5,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,052 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40fa…f205backed Southern Miss | 60c | 8,400$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,040 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…746cbacked Southern Miss | 60c | 8,300$4,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,980 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…cf61backed Southern Miss | 56c | 8,189$4,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,620.58 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.36per pick | 49cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Texas State | 39c | 8,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,880 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Texas State | 39c | 8,000$3,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,844 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Southern Miss | 58c | 7,825$4,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,538.73 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a38…950bbacked Southern Miss | 61c | 7,820$4,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,770.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Texas State | 40c | 7,775$3,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,651.43 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Texas State | 40c | 7,359$2,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,415.69 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Southern Miss | 53c | 7,090$3,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,725 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1013…87d5backed Southern Miss | 46c | 6,877$3,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,153.12 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Texas State | 40c | 6,000$2,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,598.11 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Southern Miss | 62c | 5,455$3,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,382.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…d943backed Texas State | 40c | 5,100$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Texas State | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa125…7cdfbacked Southern Miss | 61c | 4,918$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Southern Miss | 60c | 4,500$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…af42backed Southern Miss | 60c | 4,436$2,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,661.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Southern Miss | 61c | 4,237$2,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,584.6 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Southern Miss | 47c | 4,200$1,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980.53 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Southern Miss | 27c | 4,093$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.41 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf014…d442backed Southern Miss | 61c | 4,087$2,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,493 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Southern Miss | 6c | 4,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.72 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Texas State | 39c | 3,600$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Texas State | 41c | 3,537$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,086.65 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Southern Miss | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b2…df60backed Southern Miss | 61c | 3,279$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Southern Miss | 3c | 3,077$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.58 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Texas State | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Texas State | 41c | 3,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Southern Miss | 26c | 2,962$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.25 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3daa…be4ebacked Southern Miss | 49c | 2,889$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7361…2f78backed Southern Miss | 60c | 2,860$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Southern Miss | 61c | 2,815$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717.13 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -4.2wins | -0.38per pick | 47cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7540…47eebacked Southern Miss | 61c | 2,752$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Southern Miss | 60c | 2,730$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Texas State | 42c | 2,688$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554.81 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Texas State | 40c | 2,562$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.47 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Texas State | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.98 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Southern Miss | 62c | 2,418$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Southern Miss | 62c | 2,396$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.08 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf67c…2f87backed Southern Miss | 61c | 2,284$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Texas State | 41c | 2,205$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.36 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Texas State | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Texas State | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Southern Miss | 60c | 2,000$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Southern Miss | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Southern Miss | 60c | 2,000$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Texas State | 41c | 1,997$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.94 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Texas State | 40c | 1,996$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.6 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Southern Miss | 3c | 1,852$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.57 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ff…5e00backed Southern Miss | 19c | 1,829$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Texas State | 40c | 1,800$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.76 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Texas State | 40c | 1,779$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.76 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Southern Miss | 57c | 1,776$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed Texas State | 41c | 1,700$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bb…c8acbacked Southern Miss | 59c | 1,700$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas State vs. Southern Missthis page
- Spread: Southern Miss (-3.5)Texas State won
- Spread: Southern Miss (-4.5)Texas State won
- Texas State vs. Southern Miss: 1H MoneylineTexas State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.