TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1013…87d5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
156
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Middle East at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST8863.6%56 W · 32 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 88 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+96.1%+$96.08
Nets vs. Hawksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+222.6%+$1,112.9
Spread: 76ers (-3.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+96.1%+$480.39
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+122.2%+$611.11
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20,000
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+38.9%+$194.44
Spread: Warriors (-4.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+100%+$500
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.29
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+53.8%+$175
Lakers vs. Netsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+31.6%+$157.89
76ers vs. Clippersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$461.54
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+40.8%+$408.45
Magic vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+63.9%+$639.34
Lakers vs. Knicksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Kings vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$470.59
Pelicans vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15,360Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+25.7%+$3,941.62
Lakers vs. Wizardsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+28.2%+$1,410.26
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$13.93
Spurs vs. Pelicansbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+64.8%+$64.76
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+59.5%+$59.51
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+88.7%+$470
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,313Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$1,313.28
Clippers vs. Grizzliesbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$4,372Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$4,372.37
Showing 25 of 88 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
North Texas vs. Tulanebacked North Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$2,000
Ole Miss vs. Mississippi Statebacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+35.1%+$175.68
Bowling vs. UMass: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,225Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$2,224.84
Florida State vs. NC State: O/U 59.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,160Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+85.2%+$1,840
Spread: Central Michigan (-9.5)backed Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,024Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$3,024
Texas State vs. Southern Missbacked Southern Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,153Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$3,153.12
Spread: LSU (-6.5)backed Arkansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+81.8%+$900
Spread: Michigan (-11.5)backed Northwestern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+92.3%+$960
O/U 51.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+92.3%+$923.08
Clemson vs. Louisvillebacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$2,100
Spread: Central Michigan (-1.5)backed Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+92.2%+$47.04
Buffalo vs. Central Michiganbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+81.8%+$163.64
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Akronbacked Akron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Ohio vs. Western Michiganbacked Western Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+94.2%+$188.39
All 14 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST1435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-35.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Lions (-3.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$510
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$325.85
Broncos vs. Commanders: O/U 43.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Bills vs. Steelers: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+85.2%+$85.19
Raiders vs. Chargers: O/U 40.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Vikings vs. Seahawks: O/U 42.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+85.2%+$85.19
Chiefs vs. Cowboys: O/U 52.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Buccaneers vs. Ramsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Falcons vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+53.8%+$538.46
Spread: Bills (-3.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,240Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$2,240
Cowboys vs. Raiders: O/U 49.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+81.8%+$818.18
Spread: Ravens (-8.5)backed Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,020Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+92.7%+$1,872.35
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Lightningbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$64.5
Capitals vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$10,000
Utah vs. Sharksbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Blues vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+85.2%+$280.94
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+122.2%+$2,444.44
Wild vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$2,000
Islanders vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$2,000
Kings vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+96.1%+$960.78
Islanders vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+88.7%+$886.79
Devils vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,710Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$1,710
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Sabres vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,320Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+29.9%+$394.29
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$359.8
All 13 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+34%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Stanford Cardinalbacked Stanford Cardinal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+69.5%+$347.46
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Santa Clara Broncosbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$610
Spread: Houston Cougars (-10.5)backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+132.6%+$662.79
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
India T20 Series: India vs South Africa (Game 1)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+45.9%+$45.9
Bangladesh T20 Series: Bangladesh vs Ireland (Game 2)backed Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,542Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+36.2%+$557.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.6wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$619.87
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.