NFL · resolved market

Colts vs. Chiefs

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b870064f3994875a3d680056bf9d3cdfd3f3e1785eb43e1bbe22d0021398f93

Rebuilt 47 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Chiefsof Colts, Chiefs
Resolved: Nov 23, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $7,811,078
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $8,827,205

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,811,078 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,281 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2643…39aebacked Chiefs	65c	1,230,598$803,904 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$426,694.18	20	65%13 W · 7 L	+3.3wins	+0.17per pick	48cpaid	+44.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Chiefs	65c	847,097$549,628 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$297,469.51	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-2.9wins	-0.15per pick	55cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Colts	35c	565,192$197,560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197,559.89	121	44.6%54 W · 67 L	+6.4wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Colts	34c	469,269$161,809 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161,809.12	259	56.8%147 W · 112 L	+14.8wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Colts	34c	439,468$151,130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151,129.62	138	43.5%60 W · 78 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c57…c94dbacked Chiefs	65c	428,233$278,352 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149,881.59	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.14per pick	50cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Chiefs	67c	288,681$193,112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95,569.41	446	52.9%236 W · 210 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Colts	38c	219,149$83,625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83,624.68	300	43.7%131 W · 169 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7744…999ebacked Colts	35c	136,666$47,266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47,266.42	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Colts	35c	129,974$45,491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45,491.02	103	33%34 W · 69 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Colts	36c	129,409$46,587 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46,587.41	168	36.9%62 W · 106 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Colts	36c	125,700$44,772 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44,771.93	74	40.5%30 W · 44 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Colts	36c	120,000$43,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43,200	160	51.9%83 W · 77 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Colts	35c	120,000$42,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41,999.98	307	43.6%134 W · 173 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Colts	35c	117,524$41,236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41,235.54	758	52.5%398 W · 360 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Chiefs	64c	108,600$69,404 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39,195.79	93	59.1%55 W · 38 L	+10.2wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4259…936fbacked Chiefs	44c	100,266$44,037 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56,229.34	62	48.4%30 W · 32 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe25b…0f1bbacked Colts	36c	100,000$35,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35,499.98	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Colts	35c	90,000$31,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,500	312	40.7%127 W · 185 L	-22.0wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Colts	59c	89,779$52,908 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52,907.79	30	70%21 W · 9 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	67cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Colts	32c	88,190$28,328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,327.78	75	54.7%41 W · 34 L	+4.5wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e02…817ebacked Colts	36c	80,000$28,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,800	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Chiefs	64c	77,420$49,549 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,871.03	170	41.8%71 W · 99 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Colts	38c	71,744$27,524 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,524.13	207	55.1%114 W · 93 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Colts	37c	66,446$24,625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,624.58	129	44.2%57 W · 72 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Colts	36c	64,032$23,051 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,051.35	196	45.4%89 W · 107 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x19fd…5838backed Colts	37c	63,896$23,780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,779.73	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.11per pick	38cpaid	-47.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Colts	35c	62,027$21,419 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,419.49	1,196	49.9%597 W · 599 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Chiefs	64c	60,000$38,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,600	114	45.6%52 W · 62 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca36…1e9cbacked Colts	36c	60,000$21,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,400	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+4.0wins	+0.15per pick	38cpaid	+59.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Colts	44c	57,321$25,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,000	30	56.7%17 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd123…d341backed Chiefs	55c	56,867$31,535 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,331.97	15	80%12 W · 3 L	+3.1wins	+0.20per pick	60cpaid	+42.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb509…0182backed Colts	36c	55,556$20,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,000	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Colts	36c	55,000$19,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,799.98	52	36.5%19 W · 33 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked Colts	36c	50,000$18,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,000	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe12a…67efbacked Chiefs	65c	50,000$32,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,499.99	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8605…750fbacked Colts	59c	40,759$23,875 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,874.56	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.13per pick	71cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Colts	34c	40,000$13,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,400	831	47.8%397 W · 434 L	+13.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Colts	49c	39,418$19,380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,379.5	736	51.2%377 W · 359 L	+25.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Colts	35c	39,283$13,880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,880	865	47.9%414 W · 451 L	-6.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33e0…7d46backed Chiefs	61c	30,000$18,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,700	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d9…717bbacked Colts	47c	26,163$12,203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,203.19	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Colts	47c	25,132$11,799 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,799.13	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Chiefs	45c	25,000$11,320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,679.68	143	49%70 W · 73 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Colts	35c	24,571$8,584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,584.13	65	50.8%33 W · 32 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Chiefs	66c	22,893$15,109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,783.67	104	62.5%65 W · 39 L	+9.5wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+45.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Chiefs	50c	22,167$11,113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,053.28	232	44.4%103 W · 129 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Colts	36c	21,653$7,742 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,742.37	477	38.6%184 W · 293 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Colts	35c	20,000$7,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,000	66	45.5%30 W · 36 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7678…e5f0backed Colts	36c	20,000$7,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,199.99	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-3.0wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Colts	34c	18,759$6,287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,287	131	42%55 W · 76 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6397…cd96backed Colts	36c	17,260$6,198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,198	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed Colts	36c	16,500$5,940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,939.96	165	45.5%75 W · 90 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ce2…e868backed Colts	34c	16,210$5,523 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,523.48	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+1.5wins	+0.08per pick	60cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked Colts	35c	16,134$5,647 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,647	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-2.6wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Colts	38c	16,008$6,113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,113.43	89	46.1%41 W · 48 L	+5.4wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Colts	40c	15,859$6,365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,364.88	121	38.8%47 W · 74 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Colts	35c	15,555$5,444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,444.25	104	42.3%44 W · 60 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Colts	36c	15,359$5,507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,506.89	149	51%76 W · 73 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef54…d1eebacked Chiefs	53c	15,357$8,139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,217.76	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Chiefs	67c	15,216$10,162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,053.61	69	65.2%45 W · 24 L	+9.4wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+30.7%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Chiefs	66c	15,197$10,030 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,166.98	473	48.4%229 W · 244 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed Colts	33c	15,000$4,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,950	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-3.3wins	-0.25per pick	49cpaid	-56.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x81a6…9c48backed Colts	33c	14,625$4,831 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,831.3	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8058…d023backed Colts	35c	14,326$5,014 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,014.07	32	68.8%22 W · 10 L	+5.0wins	+0.16per pick	53cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Chiefs	51c	13,430$6,794 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,636.17	310	56.8%176 W · 134 L	+16.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Colts	34c	13,365$4,496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,496.09	127	44.9%57 W · 70 L	-8.8wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x94f4…92febacked Colts	46c	13,212$6,058 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,057.75	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Chiefs	65c	12,750$8,255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,495.21	59	40.7%24 W · 35 L	-5.8wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Colts	33c	12,121$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f0d…747bbacked Colts	36c	10,600$3,816 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,816	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.58per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Chiefs	40c	10,393$4,112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,281.72	200	26%52 W · 148 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3e4…9241backed Colts	37c	10,135$3,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,750	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-28%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f47…febfbacked Colts	36c	10,100$3,636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,636	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.1wins	-0.35per pick	52cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Colts	36c	10,090$3,601 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,600.62	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	+29.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Chiefs	63c	10,074$6,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,774.03	181	40.9%74 W · 107 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	+42.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Colts	34c	10,000$3,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,400	88	45.5%40 W · 48 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Chiefs	63c	10,000$6,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,700	136	54.4%74 W · 62 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0140…9028backed Chiefs	66c	10,000$6,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,399.99	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3a6…fd55backed Colts	30c	10,000$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,999.99	168	32.1%54 W · 114 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Chiefs	47c	9,879$4,660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,219.24	116	43.1%50 W · 66 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa89e…fb60backed Colts	51c	9,365$4,762 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,761.72	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+1.3wins	+0.08per pick	63cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31ab…29a5backed Colts	36c	9,300$3,348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,348	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked Colts	36c	9,207$3,285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,285	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+2.6wins	+0.20per pick	34cpaid	+82.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Colts	41c	9,000$3,692 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,691.68	180	44.4%80 W · 100 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Colts	34c	9,000$3,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,060	265	47.2%125 W · 140 L	+10.4wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed Chiefs	62c	8,912$5,525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,386.51	176	47.7%84 W · 92 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Colts	35c	8,888$3,066 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,066.36	25	40%10 W · 15 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Chiefs	46c	8,832$4,043 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,788.1	85	32.9%28 W · 57 L	-5.7wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked Colts	36c	8,810$3,172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,171.77	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	+2.0wins	+0.08per pick	31cpaid	+25.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a55…394ebacked Colts	35c	8,810$3,083 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,083.48	66	39.4%26 W · 40 L	-4.5wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Chiefs	57c	8,639$4,895 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,743.61	97	54.6%53 W · 44 L	+9.1wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+13%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e84…1ab4backed Colts	28c	8,549$2,421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,420.67	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e12…1c24backed Colts	31c	8,173$2,565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,564.58	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Chiefs	66c	8,066$5,324 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,742.58	240	56.7%136 W · 104 L	+19.3wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x240c…bd0dbacked Colts	36c	8,000$2,880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,880	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc374…46f4backed Chiefs	64c	8,000$5,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,879.99	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccb…0a10backed Colts	45c	7,977$3,598 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,598.25	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+2.2wins	+0.17per pick	52cpaid	+50.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf8d6…28bfbacked Chiefs	65c	7,700$5,005 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,695	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Chiefs	65c	7,680$4,992 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,688	112	52.7%59 W · 53 L	+8.0wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Colts vs. Chiefs

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event